Promotional banner for "PS Call For Papers" featuring a protesting crowd of people.
Call for Papers for a Special Issue from @pspolisci.bsky.social -
'Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections' - https://cup.org/3Wq5B5y
Submission Deadline: July 17, 2026
cc @apsa.bsky.social
🔵APSA members or ones who are renewing their membership :
If you are interested in political forecasting worldwide
➡️You can join the PFG (for free) using this link members.apsanet.org/User-Home/ov...
Or through your user home profile
Check out "Predicting Support for the Christian Democrats in the 2025 German Bundestag Election: A State-Level Approach" in the most recent issue of PS, by @marystegmaier.bsky.social and Kamil Marcinkiewicz
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Polisky
When does the #Economy affect #Trust in #Democracy? 🤔
Brandon Beomseob Park & @marystegmaier.bsky.social look at 30 democracies to find that it matters most where political responsibility is clear
We’ve had the privilege of hosting professors from Uzbekistan for the fall semester at Mizzou. They’ve worked with dedicated faculty mentors on research and teaching while also learning about higher education in the US. Today, President Choi awarded them certificates from Mizzou. 🇺🇿🇺🇸
Does the economy impact satisfaction with democracy? Our new publication demonstrates that the relationship is moderated by the political institutions in a country.
The new @center4politics.bsky.social piece by @debraleiter.bsky.social, @marystegmaier.bsky.social & Mike Lewis-Beck references Verasight data from the MPSA and APSA omnibus surveys to track how voter expectations for the 2026 midterms have changed from April to September.
At the start of the term, voters seemed skeptical of the “iron rule” of midterm loss. More recent data from @verasight.io paints a more complex picture. Check out our (@marystegmaier.bsky.social & Mike Lewis-Beck) new piece @center4politics.bsky.social
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Great @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting at @apsa.bsky.social !
Don’t forget our @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting today at 12:00 PM PDT in Marriott Vancouver Pinnacle Downtown dundarave
All @apsa.bsky.social members are welcome ! Feel free to attend and become a @pol4casting.bsky.social member!
1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space.
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
It was a pleasure to chair and to be the discussant of the papers of such a wonderful @apsa.bsky.social panel! Thanks you all @hannahrajski.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social @bjerome-t.bsky.social
Such a wonderful @apsa.bsky panel with @marystegmaier.bsky.social ( Chair) @bjerome-t.bsky.social @debraleiter.bsky.social Mike Lewis-Beck Thomas Gruca @peterenns.bsky.social Raymond Duch @nuraphd.bsky.social
If you want to forecast elections, read this.
The Midterm Loss Rule: What Do Voters Expect in 2026?
(@debraleiter.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social and Michael S. Lewis-Beck, @center4politics.bsky.social)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250515-top...
Will 2026 see the classic midterm loss? Voters aren't so sure. Using @verasight.bsky.social data, @marystegmaier.bsky.social, Michael Lewis-Beck and I see voters uncertain of the "iron law" of midterm loss. Today @center4politics.bsky.social's Crystal Ball.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor Philippe Mongrain & all the contributors.
Our latest election forecasting article focuses on political economy models in the US, UK, Mexico and Ghana. Check it out!
@debraleiter.bsky.social @johnkenny.bsky.social @mlewisbe.bsky.social
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Lots of eyes are on the German elections and how well the Christian Democrats will do. Check out our forecast online @pspolisci.bsky.social
Congratulations, Zeynep!
Excited to see our article predicting CDU/CSU support included in this German Election Forecasting symposium 🇩🇪
** NEW ISSUE ALERT**
PS: Political Science & Politics January 2025 issue is published!
Check it out here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
We welcomed 3 visiting scholars from Uzbekistan to the University of Missouri for the spring semester. Our Uzbek students joined us at the reception and many wore the traditional dress from their country. 🇺🇸🇺🇿
What a great way to cap off two days of enriching social science workshops at Nuffield College, Oxford University.
Today Philippe Mongrain & I presented an analysis of the @pspolisci.bsky.social 2024 US election forecasts at Nuffield College, @uniofoxford.bsky.social Thanks to Ray Duch & Roberto Cerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!
East European Politics is now also on Bluesky! @eepolitics.bsky.social
What a great roundtable! Thanks for including me to discuss the US election forecasts published in @pspolisci.bsky.social. The introduction to the special issue (coauthored with Philippe Mongrain) is available at doi.org/10.1017/S104...
