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Philip Stafford

@staffordphilip

Reporter at the Financial Times https://bsky.app/profile/financialtimes.com. Bits of UK retail, markets, bits of market structure, bits of crypto or mix of all of them. If you've been spammed in your DM with a crypto scam, it's not me.

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Latest posts by Philip Stafford @staffordphilip

Preview
Where things stand with the Department of War A statement from Dario Amodei

I think one of the most staggering industry shifts in my 16 years as a tech reporter is that it’s not become a question of “should our product help the government kill and/or surveil people?” but “to what extent?”

www.anthropic.com/news/where-s...

06.03.2026 03:06 👍 1526 🔁 467 💬 36 📌 48
Trump Defends Addition Of   Ballroom To    Air Force One

Trump Defends Addition Of   Ballroom To    Air Force One

Trump Defends Addition Of   Ballroom To    Air Force One https://theonion.com/trump-defends-addition-of-ballroom-to-air-force-one/

06.03.2026 17:00 👍 1069 🔁 104 💬 18 📌 6
Preview
‘Is This Insider Information?’ The Prediction Market Bets Driving a Campus Frenzy Kalshi and Polymarket pour money into deals with social-media influencers and students, who try to parlay rumors into cash.

This piece is great but also insane.

Polymarket has offered to pay fraternities, in exchange for signing up users, money that can be spent on throwing “epic parties”—one frat raised $30,510 over a two-week period.
www.wsj.com/business/med...

06.03.2026 15:59 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Kalshi employees "kind of understand that without the tweets and the streamers and all of the social-media stuff that the traders do for them, usually just for free, their marketing would be a lot harder," said Jack Campion, 20, a junior at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a Kalshi affiliate.
In September, Kalshi briefly signed up a 15-year-old videogame streamer who goes by vertid online to promote its brand on X as an affiliate.
A week later, Kalshi ended the partnership.
"Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn," a Kalshi employee wrote to the user in messages reviewed by the Journal. "Kinda sad tbh."

Kalshi employees "kind of understand that without the tweets and the streamers and all of the social-media stuff that the traders do for them, usually just for free, their marketing would be a lot harder," said Jack Campion, 20, a junior at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a Kalshi affiliate. In September, Kalshi briefly signed up a 15-year-old videogame streamer who goes by vertid online to promote its brand on X as an affiliate. A week later, Kalshi ended the partnership. "Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can't work with minors rn," a Kalshi employee wrote to the user in messages reviewed by the Journal. "Kinda sad tbh."

what the fuck are we doing

www.wsj.com/business/med...

06.03.2026 06:12 👍 4328 🔁 868 💬 103 📌 226
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2 young billionaires are behind the prediction market boom. They hate each other The 20-something billionaires who run Kalshi and Polymarket are battling it out to be the top prediction market company. Observers and former insiders say the feud is just heating up.

At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together

"For them, it's existential," a former Kalshi employee told me

www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n...

06.03.2026 13:50 👍 60 🔁 22 💬 20 📌 39
Preview
Axel Springer poised to buy Telegraph in £500mn deal German media group has gatecrashed a proposed acquisition by the owner of the Daily Mail

Massive UK media scoop - Germany's Axel Springer is poised to agree a shock £500mn deal for the Telegraph in a move that will scupper the acquisition of the UK newspaper group by the Daily Mail. W/ the FT's finest @JFK_America @ArashMassoudi

www.ft.com/content/e5cb...

06.03.2026 11:34 👍 61 🔁 28 💬 6 📌 17

bravo

06.03.2026 11:42 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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NYSE Owner Invests in Crypto Exchange at $25 Billion Valuation Intercontinental Exchange Inc. is acquiring a stake in OKX in a deal that values the cryptocurrency exchange operator at $25 billion.

Scratching my head at this one.

OKX isn't one of the leading players, esp in the US, and a year ago settled for $500m for AML rules violations, when DoJ estimated $5bn of suspicious trades went though OKX.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

05.03.2026 14:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Wealthy Dubai residents race back to UAE to avoid tax bills Some risk spending too few days in the emirate and too many in the UK

The forgotten victims of war.
"Some are turning to private jet hire in order to prevent them being disqualified from the UAE’s generous tax status"
www.ft.com/content/80bf...

05.03.2026 13:54 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Federal Reserve grants Kraken access to payments system in first for crypto group Digital assets company will be able to connect directly into key parts of central bank’s infrastructure

This is a big deal for crypto, something it's lacked since the Silvergate network went down in 2023.
www.ft.com/content/d84a...

04.03.2026 16:49 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

And I thought removing the Ayatollah without any other plan was the worst idea I'd heard this week.

04.03.2026 14:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Ruud knows.

Too many decent athletes, not enough footballers.

03.03.2026 20:19 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
Trump: "Effective IMMEDIATELY, I have ordered the United States Development Finance Corporation (DFC) to provide, at a very reasonable price, political risk insurance and guarantees for the Financial Security of ALL Maritime Trade, especially Energy, traveling through the Gulf. This will be available to all Shipping Lines. If necessary, the United States Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, as soon as possible. No matter what, the United States will ensure the FREE FLOW of ENERGY to the WORLD. The United States’ ECONOMIC and MILITARY MIGHT is the GREATEST ON EARTH — More actions to come. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"

Trump: "Effective IMMEDIATELY, I have ordered the United States Development Finance Corporation (DFC) to provide, at a very reasonable price, political risk insurance and guarantees for the Financial Security of ALL Maritime Trade, especially Energy, traveling through the Gulf. This will be available to all Shipping Lines. If necessary, the United States Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, as soon as possible. No matter what, the United States will ensure the FREE FLOW of ENERGY to the WORLD. The United States’ ECONOMIC and MILITARY MIGHT is the GREATEST ON EARTH — More actions to come. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"

Trump: "I have ordered the US Development Finance Corporation (DFC) to provide political risk insurance and guarantees for the Financial Security of ALL Maritime Trade through Gulf. This will be available to all Shipping Lines. If necessary, the Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait"

03.03.2026 20:09 👍 543 🔁 150 💬 186 📌 74
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Incentives drive behaviours

Charlie Munger couldn’t have scripted it better

03.03.2026 12:43 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Polymarket users won big with unusual bets on US attack on Iran FT analysis identifies 12 accounts on platform that made large well-timed wagers just ahead of start of conflict

Polymarket users won big with unusual bets on US attack on Iran
www.ft.com/content/2883...

03.03.2026 07:30 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Melania Trump is chairing a UN Security Council meeting.

I'm not joking.

The US currently holds the presidency of the council and that's who Trump chose as chair.

02.03.2026 20:13 👍 781 🔁 386 💬 187 📌 178
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This is strategising steps ahead of the opposition.

Trump struggles to explain why he launched another Middle Eastern war www.ft.com/content/fd31...

03.03.2026 07:25 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Bank Equity Price Reactions to Stablecoin Legislation The growth of stablecoins could reshape competitive dynamics in banking, but whether this benefits or challenges individual institutions depends on their size and jurisdiction.

Y’all look like you need a break from the grueling news cycle (again!). We’ve got you covered!
Check out our note with @rashad-ahmed.bsky.social on bank equity price reactions to stablecoin legislation!

anderseninstitute.org/bank-equity-...

02.03.2026 10:10 👍 10 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 2
Preview
Polymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Draw Notice As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, bettors on Polymarket — where $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes — were cashing in. Almost immediately, blockchain sleuths began hunting for unusual patterns in recent bets.

As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, bettors on Polymarket — where $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes — were cashing in

01.03.2026 00:30 👍 1861 🔁 943 💬 293 📌 891

Allies of me are understood to be begging my fellow journalists to stop letting politicians put out doubtful statements through deniable sourcing.

28.02.2026 18:05 👍 98 🔁 15 💬 4 📌 0
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The 'digital gold' store of value in times of uncertainty

28.02.2026 09:53 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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This is amazing.

www.getyourfuckingmoneyback.com

27.02.2026 17:49 👍 37002 🔁 11950 💬 498 📌 800
The Trump family’s media group is weighing plans to spin off the Truth Social social media platform that is extensively used by Donald Trump, as it seeks to reposition itself as a major player in nuclear energy.

The Trump family’s media group is weighing plans to spin off the Truth Social social media platform that is extensively used by Donald Trump, as it seeks to reposition itself as a major player in nuclear energy.

You can have no idea where this sentence is going as.ft.com/r/4860d9c4-7...

27.02.2026 14:20 👍 258 🔁 86 💬 17 📌 12

The tone of a headmaster very disappointed with the class and he'll put them in detention to reflect on what they've done.

27.02.2026 15:00 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

seems bad

MFS CREDITORS ALLEGE £930 MILLION SHORTFALL FROM DOUBLE PLEDGES

27.02.2026 14:49 👍 30 🔁 3 💬 3 📌 3

willing to bet a tenner that the local elections in May feature at least one party accusing a minority group of eating pets

27.02.2026 12:46 👍 100 🔁 6 💬 9 📌 0
No more Stablecoin “rewards” | Noyes Payments Blog

Deep in banking regulation weeds but maybe the end of 'rewards' for US stablecoin owners.
The evasion language in the OCC proposed guidance is pretty tough.
blog.starpointllp.com/2026/02/no-m...

27.02.2026 12:43 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Nasdaq’s proposed changes to the Nasdaq-100 would fast-track mega-cap IPOs like SpaceX or Anthropic into the index even with tiny floats.

Good for insiders but it risks leaving passive investors holding the proverbial bag.

In @alphaville.ft.com today - no paywall: www.ft.com/content/cdf3...

26.02.2026 07:43 👍 12 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 2
CFTC Enforcement Division Issues Prediction Markets Advisory The CFTC's Division of Enforcement today has issued an advisory following public release of two enforcement cases involving misuse of nonpublic information and fraud with respect to certain prediction markets, also known as event contracts, traded on KalshiEX, a Designated Contract Market.

CFTC issues guidance on what it see as insider trading on predictions markets.

"Misappropriation of confidential information in breach of a pre-existing duty of trust and confidence to the source of the information"

www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/Pr...

25.02.2026 20:17 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

True, there's useful data in Refinitiv but it was 5x bigger than old LSEG and well known as a badly integrated mess. ICE passed over buying because of it. LSEG bet they could fix it but it's dragged margins. Totally agree on other observations.

25.02.2026 18:15 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0