The reaction of oil markets in early March 2026 to the prospect of a closure of the Straits Of Hormuz will likely go down in the books as an example of an Eminently Knowable Yet Somehow Unknown Known.
@awesomeredshirt
dreaming of the American Maidan. mostly repost politics (sorry!), loves weather pictures and the NWS. democracy and human rights enjoyer. liberal and leftist, whatever works. πΉπ§¦ πΊπ¦π΅πΈ
The reaction of oil markets in early March 2026 to the prospect of a closure of the Straits Of Hormuz will likely go down in the books as an example of an Eminently Knowable Yet Somehow Unknown Known.
it's fascinating how FDD guys have gotten everything they wanted but it tastes like ash in the mouth
A good chunk are charlatans and chauvinists.
If I see one more OSINTDefender post - aka βthey shot down aliens with an F-22 over Canadaβ - Iβll go insane.
But people routinely screencap that scammer and they were routinely wrong even in 2022 before things got really bad on X
You have no way to help us after years of Liberal Party rule destroyed the Canadian military.
Dubowitz is big mad that Canada won't commit to joining the war (seriously though what Canadian assets would the Americans even get from us, lol?)
As someone who hates mark Dubowitz deeply, his crashout tonight on Twitter is giving me life
I think the biggest mistake outsiders have about Israel and Palestine is assuming everyone in or connected to the region hates each other for stupid reasons when in fact they hate each other for pretty good ones that are very hard to undo.
mfw this guy was THE middle east dude for the USG for like 20 years and he still has no idea how the Islamic Republic works
On my Bloomberg launchpad I keep six intraday futures charts up at all times to get a feel for market sentiment. Here are four of them: US dollar, S&P 500, gold, and US treasury bonds.
actually i think that this is a dark inversion of The Gulf War Did Not Take Place. The fact it could be a media spectacle was a consequence of US technical supremacy, plus relatively limited objectives, plus international buy in which meant it was incredibly one-sided
SCOOP β Body camera footage obtained as a result of my lawsuit against the DC Metropolitan PD confirms DOGE and the Trump administration openly admitted they were entering private property when they raided the building on March 17, 2025. That didn't stop MPD from breaking down the doors.
My report:
David Shor is currently having to tell people on Twitter that actually according to the data Israel is in fact substantially more racially segregated than America and in fact even more so than some of it's neighbors
something's very definitely going on at fox news HQ
Girl they're gonna look at that one enlistment where you somehow made E5 without earning a single award aside from the ones you got automatically awarded for graduating your initial entry training at the time and say "um, the Army is full, actually"
WHY DO PERSIAN JEWS LIVE IN LA
WHAT HAPPENED TO IRAN'S JEWS THAT THEYRE SUCH A SMALL PART OF IRAN'S POPULATION
We are not Charlie Kirk, we will not carry the flame, we wonβt fight for the gospel, we wonβt honor his name :)
the Democratic Party is going to be handed a windfall current leadership is utterly incapable of exploiting and we need there to be consequences for this time.
I maintain that simply arresting Elon musk and making a real example of him is the quickest way to global stability
None of yall are thinking big enough. If crude oil goes to $200 and Trump's lucid enough to remember that JD pushed for le epic bacon big chungus bombing, we might see the first time in history the VP got thrown off the roof of the White House
I can second this, and I believe I would additionally describe myself to the interviewer as a βlikely voterβ
donald j. trump ... welcome to the war on cars
This is the foreign policy/military/diplomatic equivalent of when tech people turn up in government thinking they know how to fix everything.
Graham Platner really is a beltway guyβs idea of the kind of working class person the Democrats have lost, that is part of why they are backing him so hard.
Heβs probably going to win despite it all, because this is going to be a wave year for outsider Dems. He will be the main one they cite.
Didn't know that Retvrn meant the later 70s, but good to know
βMAGAβs fundamental shared quality is a total lack of theory of mind for other peopleβ is a theory that keeps getting validated by reality - look at almost every decision theyβve made in the war with Iran, and how they seem constantly surprised by the unanticipated actions of other parties.
Bobby. Youβre next, sweetie.
One of the instances in which it is actually emphatically true that by stifling left-liberal criticism of Israel on a liberal basis you just leave open room for nutjobs to do it and fill the space instead
Instead of reckoning with the frankly timid and limited criticisms of people like Tony Judt a lot of people plugged their ears, or in some cases even worse ran into the arms of someone like a Carlson or a Ben Shapiro, and now everyone's shocked.
This is both emphatically true and, like, just a disaster.
Tragic consequences for the Abu Dhabi Ports tug MUSSAFAH-2 (IMO 9522051, UAE-flag, BV-class, b. 2012, 134gt) which was bombed as it assisted stricken box ship SAFEEN PRESTIGE (IMO 9593517). Sadly, all crew reportedly killed. www.seatrade-maritime.com/security/tug...