#APSA
11.09.2025 05:06
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#APSA
I’m very excited to share that my paper “Cleavage theory meets civil society: A framework and research agenda” with @eborbath.bsky.social & Swen Hutter has now been published online in @wepsocial.bsky.social (w/ open access funding thanks to @wzb.bsky.social!)
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
My new post. How current political science replicated my PhD thesis of 25 years ago. And took it further, in a paper in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social and other work, by @liesbethooghe.bsky.social, Gary Marks and @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social.
open.substack.com/pub/hermwerf...
Not yet, we're going to submit the paper in a matter of weeks and can then send you a draft. Thanks for your interest!
In all, our findings underscore the political power of historical representation: when labor struggles are omitted from public memory, opportunities for collective mobilization are curtailed.
Learning about this history greatly increased support for the contemporary labor movement and the Poor Peoples Campaign, as compared to a control group
We then conduct an experiment among lower-educated white respondents from the US South, a sample where we would be least-likely to increase support for unions. Respondents learned about a union in two different treatments.
First, we show that knowing more about union history correlates with support for the contemporary labor movement, also when controlling for a battery of variables such as partisanship.
The second #MayDay2025 project is with the amazing @rrahnama.bsky.social and focuses on knowledge about labor history. We argue that the absence of education on historical class struggle and labor organizing weakens support for the contemporary labor movement in the US.
The paper has implications for party strategies. Many working-class voters hold economically progressive opinions and are culturally conservative, but do not find cultural issues important--9.9% of these voters vote Republican. The Democrats can win them back
Using an updating experiment, I correct these misperceptions, leading to substantially large effects on vote intention and party affect towards the @democrats.org
I argue that many working-class voters misperceive how important economic issues are to the left, and that these misperceptions lead them to vote for the right.
Further, I show that a large majority of working-class voters holds progressive opinions on economic issues. This raises the question why they, in increasing numbers, do not vote for parties that support such policies.
I begin by showing that economic issues remain the most important issues to working-class voters, albeit less important than in the past. I use ANES data and classify open-ended responses to the question 'what is the most important issue to you' using an LLM.
Excited to talk about two new projects on #MayDay2025. The first paper focuses on the voting behavior of working-class voters. My argument is that *voters misperceive how important economic issues are to the left*.
A car attack in Munich just days before the election-was it a game-changer? Politico speculated it could boost the AfD, but the results tell a different story. Our research on the Utrecht attack shows why voters often rally around incumbents instead: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...