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Charles

@charles01

Chicago walking tour guide, econ student, and most importantly: poaster I write about law and politics sometimes https://substack.com/@americanconstitutionalfront

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02.10.2023
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Latest posts by Charles @charles01

there's a thing I like to call "load-bearing assumptions", that you don't notice until they're suddenly gone (e.g the air you breath has oxygen in it).

the post-ww2 order is a load-bearing assumption for basically the entirety of american life. trump took a sledgehammer to it in the last 90 days.

06.03.2026 17:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 3277 ๐Ÿ” 825 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 55 ๐Ÿ“Œ 34

this happened to me and i will not be improving btw

26.02.2026 19:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

democrats are out of touch because i like steam sales

26.02.2026 17:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Statement from the Cuban Ministry of the Interior of the event:

"Note from the Ministry of the Interior:

On the morning of February 25, 2026, a violating speedboat was detected within Cuban territorial waters. The vessel, registered in Florida, United States..."

25.02.2026 19:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 1058 ๐Ÿ” 450 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 71 ๐Ÿ“Œ 149

in order: 20%, 20%, 40%, 10%, 10%

23.02.2026 21:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

the next DNC should be held in Minneapolis

18.02.2026 22:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This book absolutely rules. Feels like I'm taking a college course on Congress when I'm reading it.

13.02.2026 16:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

what planet is this person from that he thinks this story is flattering for Alito. this makes him look like a complete jerk on a very personal level. incredible loser stuff

11.02.2026 16:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

andrew johnson is for sure worse

06.02.2026 18:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 76 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

HmmAI adds "Wow" response, is acquired by Elon Musk for $900b

05.02.2026 16:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I know what the last census data says man, that's what I've been looking at this whole time.

05.02.2026 16:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, you said 40%. That was wrong. It's 26.1%.

05.02.2026 16:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Correction, Census data from 2024. Ten years more updated than the data in that link.

05.02.2026 15:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That data is over ten years old. The sentence right before the one you link says "2008 to 2014 (the latest available data)".

I am looking at Census data from last year. It's 33.6%.

05.02.2026 15:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I don't know what you mean by supporting the same conclusion. We're not drawing any conclusions at all. You are getting basic numbers about poverty wrong.

05.02.2026 15:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That number is 33.6%.

05.02.2026 15:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ross Douthat, quietly to himself: "I am like the Spartacus of elite pedophiles..."

05.02.2026 15:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That is why your method is bad. A household of 1 person making 65k is doing *great*. The poverty line changes by household size. Asking AI what % of households make <65k tells you nothing about how many are in poverty.

05.02.2026 15:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

No. I am looking at neither of those. The % of all people living in a household whose income is <200% of the poverty line is 26.1%. That's the answer. 65k is a useless heuristic to apply broadly across family sizes. A big household making 65k will be poorer than a small household making 65k.

05.02.2026 15:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What the fuck man

05.02.2026 15:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

No, it's important to incorporate household size when calculating who is in poverty. Point being, you can't decide a certain income level is poverty and broadly apply that to different household sizes.

The percentage of Americans below 200% poverty line is 26%. That's the answer. Far less than 40!

05.02.2026 15:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
discord screenshot reading:
i feel like it didnt used to be this stupid
i know i used to be a kid, and that colors my perspective, but
it cant have been this obviously stupid every day. i would have noticed

discord screenshot reading: i feel like it didnt used to be this stupid i know i used to be a kid, and that colors my perspective, but it cant have been this obviously stupid every day. i would have noticed

03.02.2026 19:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think the NYT needs to hire someone whose entire job is asking "Who gives a shit" when someone pitches a dumbass story like this

02.02.2026 20:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

not even going to engage with the "puerto ricans are americans" conversation, but why are they even asking the players about this. the halftime show isn't even for them. don't they need to like, eat some orange slices and change their socks or something. i bet a ton of them spend that time pooping.

02.02.2026 20:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 581 ๐Ÿ” 34 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 23 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

in other words, the choice isn't between 2 weeks and 0 weeks

29.01.2026 23:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There should be no doubt that JB Pritzker is The Guy for 2028. No doubt whatsoever. Blows Newsom out of the water, and nobody else comes close. America's #1 class traitor will destroy all the secret creepy billionaires funding JD Vance and the other pedophiles

29.01.2026 23:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Logging onto bsky and looking for reasons to get mad

29.01.2026 23:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/vitu...

24.01.2026 19:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 112 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I haven't been this excited to read something since Constitution of Conflict. Which wasn't that long ago, but before that, it's a long time.

29.01.2026 21:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

His job is to adjudicate the petitioner's claim. The petitioner asked to get a writ of habeas corpus or be released. He got released, so the claim is resolved. Understanding this does not mean absolving ICE of consequences. This was never going to be the venue for serious agency-wide consequences

29.01.2026 17:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0