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Statistics, Politics and Policy

@sppjournal

Applying statistical analysis to (public) policy: https://www.degruyter.com/journal/key/spp/html

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Latest posts by Statistics, Politics and Policy @sppjournal

They utilize an FMOLS model for data about a region in which public debt approaches 60% of NSDP. On the basis of their results they highlight an urgent need for policies that better channel the remittance funds into productive investments to reduce reliance on market borrowings.

03.03.2026 08:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Impact of International Remittances on Public Debt Sustainability in Kerala: Evidence from the FMOLS Approach Remittances from Kerala’s migrant workers and professionals constitute a vital financial inflow, surpassing their relative significance in most other Indian states. With public debt nearing 60β€―% of NS...

Can international remittances safeguard public debt sustainability? In issue 3/2025, Anjana Sabu and Vineeth Mohandas analyze the financial landscape of Kerala, India and find deteriorating debt sustainability despite substantial remittance inflows.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

03.03.2026 08:59 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In their analysis they examine data from 1991 to 2022. On this basis they warn that without people-oriented economic investments, even currently stable democracies remain susceptible to political reversal.

27.02.2026 08:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Determinants of Political Instability in ECOWAS (1991–2022) This study examined GDP per Capita, military expenditure, trade openness capital formation, inflation and unemployment as determinants of political instability in ECOWAS from 1991 to 2022. Four countr...

What are key drivers of political instability in West Africa? In issue 3/2025, Richard Gbemudia and Stanley Akachukwu highlight GDP per capita, military expenditure, and unemployment as decisive factors to explain why only some ECOWAS nations experienced coups.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

27.02.2026 08:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

From economy and healthcare to tradition and climate: emotional responses are area-specific and age acts as a key predictor. The article is part of Special Issue "Emotional dynamics of politics and policymaking" by Guest Editors Georg Wenzelburger and Beatriz Carbone of @politicsunisaar.bsky.social.

24.02.2026 09:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Emotional Reactions to Protective Policies on the Political Spectrum The need for safety is one of the basic human needs. States implement different protective policies to fulfil the task of granting safety to their citizens. Aim of the present study conducted online o...

How do emotional reactions to protective policies vary across the political spectrum? In issue 3/2025, Marta Penczek-ZapaΕ‚a and @kasiahamer.bsky.social of @polskaakademianauk.bsky.social analyze the emotions evoked by protective policies in Poland.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

24.02.2026 09:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

He proposes an amended concept (based on the European Social Survey) that adds an emotional layer to the framework of political responsiveness. This article is part of the Special Issue on "Emotional dynamics of politics and policymaking" by our Guest Editors Georg Wenzelburger and Beatriz Carbone.

20.02.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Bringing Emotions into the Study of Responsiveness: The Case of Protective Policies Research on representation and responsiveness is based on the idea that voters have concerns about certain policy problems and that representatives respond to these concerns with concrete policy outpu...

How do emotions influence political responsiveness? In his contribution to our issue 3/2025, Georg Wenzelburger of @politicsunisaar.bsky.social argues that by focusing on preference-policy linkages, previous research has often underestimated the role of emotions.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

20.02.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

We welcome contributions on:

πŸ”Ή Public Revenue
πŸ”Ή Public Expenditure
πŸ”Ή Public Debt and Fiscal Sustainability
πŸ”Ή Fiscal Consolidation and Political Conflict
πŸ”Ή Innovations in the Analysis of Public Finance

18.02.2026 10:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ“’ Call for Papers – Special Issue on The Politics of Public Finance
Guest Editor: Bernhard Kittel

πŸ“… Submission deadline: October 31st, 2026
πŸ“© Submit your manuscript here: mc.manuscriptcentral.com/dgspp
πŸ“§ Questions? Contact us at: spp@politik.uni-freiburg.de

18.02.2026 10:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

We welcome contributions on:
πŸ”Ή Climate & Energy Policy
πŸ”Ή Digital & AI Policy
πŸ”Ή Economic Policy & Infrastructure Development
πŸ”Ή Demographics
πŸ”Ή Media & Internet policy
πŸ”Ή Lifestyle governance
πŸ”Ή (Geo-)political Influence and Military Capabilities

16.07.2025 07:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ“’ Call for Papers – Special Issue on China: Politics and Policy
Guest Editors: @ettensperger.bsky.social & Lars Konheiser

πŸ“… Submission deadline: January 16, 2026
πŸ“© Submit your manuscript here: mc.manuscriptcentral.com/dgspp
πŸ“§ Questions? Contact us at: spp@politik.uni-freiburg.de

16.07.2025 07:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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A Comprehensive Meta-Analysis of Determinants Influencing Military Expenditure: New Methodological Insights and Implications for Defence Budget Allocation The aim of this article is to conduct a meta-analysis of existing research on the determinants of military expenditure. Using data from an initial screening of 179 studies, 15 studies were selected fo...

Their approach offers new methodological insights and supports a more evidence-based foundation for defense budget allocation.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

21.05.2025 07:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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In issue 1/2025, Muchamad Bachtiar, Irdam Ahmad, Zainal Abidin Sahabuddin, and Trismadi Trismadi conduct a meta-analysis of military expenditure determinants across 15 studies. They find war, ongoing spending, and external threats to be key drivers - while national conditions correlate negatively.

21.05.2025 07:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Violent Conflict and Fatality in Nigeria: A Point Process Modeling with SPDE Approach For many decades, Nigeria has been plagued by a consistently high rate of violent events, resulting in countless fatalities and the displacement of citizens. This study aimed to model the spatio-tempo...

Their findings reveal a concentration of violence in the northeast and a 42% chance of at least one fatality per violent event - underlining the urgency for targeted interventions and evidence-based policy.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

19.05.2025 13:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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In issue 1/2025, Osafu Augustine Egbon and Ezra Gayawan present a spatio-temporal model of violent conflict and fatalities in Nigeria. Using a Cox point process and SPDE approach, they analyze georeferenced conflict data to identify regional patterns and high-risk areas.

19.05.2025 13:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Pandemic Intensity Estimation using Dynamic Factor Modeling Individual and policy reactions to the coronavirus pandemic had disparate impacts on viral transmission and were heterogeneous in their influence on economic activity and personal outcomes (Kerpen, Ph...

To enable officials and governments to comprehensively measure disease intensity, they develop their model from various US-American economic and pandemic data series.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-2024-0042

16.05.2025 08:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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In our issue 1/2025, Aaron Cooke and John Vivian develop a restricted data-rich dynamic factor model to evaluate vaccination efficacy during the 2020 coronavirus pandemic. Their model can be used for other populations, as they provide an open-source Python package.

16.05.2025 08:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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A State-Level Policy Change That Would Revitalize the Electoral College The academic literature is rife with analyses of the US Electoral College’s flaws, but proposals to improve the system often rely upon old ideas. For example, the idea of replacing the Electoral Colle...

In detail, he suggests allocating a state’s electoral votes to each county’s plurality winner, proportional to voter turnout in that county.
Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-2024-0058

14.05.2025 09:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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In issue 1/2025, John O’Reilly proposes the County-Elector Plan to revitalize the Electoral College. Implementable by states, it would avoid a constitutional change and future gerrymandering. Thereby, electoral competition would be shifted from a few battleground states to several hundred counties.

14.05.2025 09:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ“… Submission deadline: October 31, 2025
πŸ“§ Questions? Contact us at spp@politik.uni-freiburg.de

12.05.2025 09:17 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ“’ Call for Papers – Special Issue on Elections

We welcome contributions on:
πŸ”Ή Electoral outcomes & voting behavior
πŸ”Ή Campaigns & debates
πŸ”Ή Electoral systems & reforms
πŸ”Ή Comparative perspectives
πŸ”Ή Innovations in electoral analysis

πŸ“© Submit your manuscript here: lnkd.in/e23ee9ik

12.05.2025 09:17 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’‘ As we step into 2025, we are also excited to share that SPP is transitioning to Gold Open Access
@degruyterbrill.bsky.social, ensuring that all articles are freely available under a Creative Commons license! We’d like to thank our subscribers who made this transformation possible.

06.05.2025 09:48 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Issue 1/2025 of SPP is available online! It features 4 articles showing the power of quantitative methods in addressing some of the most pressing political challenges:

πŸ“Œ Electoral Reform
πŸ“Œ Pandemic Response
πŸ“Œ Conflict Analysis
πŸ“Œ Military Expenditure

Access: www.degruyterbrill.com/journal/key/...

06.05.2025 09:48 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling of Macroeconomic Variables in Ghana This study analyzed the impact of macroeconomic variables (manufacturing, real exchange rate, government expenditure, and gross fixed capital formation) on GDP growth in Ghana. Utilizing secondary dat...

At the same time, gross fixed capital formation has a moderately negative effect.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

20.03.2025 15:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What drives GDP growth in Ghana? Emmanuel Amoako Koranteng, Gideon Mensah Engmann, and Dioggban Jakperik apply a hierarchical Bayesian model to analyze key macroeconomic variables in our issue 3/2024: real exchange rates, manufacturing, and government expenditure positively impact GDP growth.

20.03.2025 15:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Great Powers Competition and Increasing Entropy in the Local Media Across Africa and Asia The current United States National Defense Strategy prioritizes strategic competition with Russia and China, whereas for the previous two decades, the priority was counter-terrorism. This research aim...

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

19.03.2025 13:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Declining U.S. influence, particularly in Asia, and rising Chinese engagement: in their contribution to our issue 3/2024, Elizabeth G., Steven Kim, Nicholas Sobrepena, Stone Goethe, and Eric E. analyze media coverage across 96 African and Asian nations and find geopolitical influence.

19.03.2025 13:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Hybrid Modeling Techniques for Municipal Solid Waste Forecasting: An Application to OECD Countries Accurate forecasting of municipal solid waste (MSW) generation is critical for effective waste management, given the rising volumes of waste posing environmental and public health challenges. This stu...

Chellai Fatih of UniversitΓ© Ferhat Abbas, SΓ©tif researches this interesting topic in a time where the transition toward sustainability becomes more central by the day.

Read more: doi.org/10.1515/spp-...

18.03.2025 10:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How can we better predict municipal solid waste? In issue 3/2024, Chellai Fatih explores the power of hybrid modeling techniques to forecast municipal solid waste (MSW) generation across OECD countries. The article's findings highlight the need for data-driven waste management policies.

18.03.2025 10:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0