A great conversation about Canadian politics with my friend @2closetocall.bsky.social on The Sami Parvez Show this Tuesday. He also shared insights about his political future. Check it out this afternoon at 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT. #cdnpoli #polcan
youtu.be/ualAwOuTyyw?...
Avoid the press
(Verb the noun)
This is such a new level of cope
Trump won all the swing states and even, incredibly so, won the popular vote
They're asking for like 24% wage increases in 4 years...
Fair. When the entire discourse has been on "do we really get back more than we paid?", it's hard to blame people
No blasphemy against him!
Yet something like 70%+ of people don't want the carbon tax anymore
People just lie
Good news guys, the level of discourse around election forecasting on this site has just increased tremendously!
Crushing for X really to lose the keys!
Damn I was really hoping to get your username
My boy Roman surviving though
PR isn't super useful in the US with really only 2 parties
Obviously this could change but a reform is a lot less important than in Canada for instance
I think BlueSky could become this digestible Substack for experts to share stuff while X will remain the political townsquare
POV, you are a party with no ideology trying to maintain government in Quebec
So there's supposed to be 'starter packs' of people to follow?
Anybody has a pack for pollsters or economists?
Yeah I don't care either way, I don't own stocks of either. But I don't want to have to go on 2 sites and manage two accounts, that's all.
You're a commie though!
So basically we'll now need to have a X account to follow right-wing people and a BlueSky account to follow left-wing ones?
Avoiding echo chambers is getting tedious
Yeah for sure.
Too bad the West mostly uses natural gas and the Liberals don't need the West to win!
The Liberals have gone from "we're proud to increase the carbon tax during high inflation, it shows our commitment" to "let's actually pause it for 3 years".
Incredible really
Federal Polling:
CPC: 40% (+6)
LPC: 24% (-9)
NDP: 19% (+1)
GPC: 8% (+6)
BQ: 5% (-3)
PPC: 5% (-)
Nanos Research / October 20, 2023 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
I mean that's not my call. If Twitter doesn't want to lift the suspension, nothing I can do
The "apple video" has brought Poilievre as close as ever to Trudeau on Google Trends
I genuinely expect Poilievre to be tied in this metric during the campaign, something unthinkable before him
It's just a guy, he's just reporting on the polls, he's not making them
Okay people explain to me why this poll shows that Crombie, supposedly a right-wing leader, is the most popular among NDP voters!
Only thing really is that she is usually around 40% in all metrics. So if the other 3 really, really dislike her, then sure she can lose. But with ranked ballots, usually if you start at 40%, you win.
All indicators are showing Crombie ahead. Money raised? Crombie easily. Number of donors? Still her. Donors recently (since Sept): first as well. Google trends? Crombie ahead.
My current projections (based on fundraising and Google Trends) for the OLP leadership race:
Crombie 42%
Naqvi 21%
Erskine-Smith 20%
Hsu 17%
Bonnie Crombie well ahead then it's a close race for second. I think Crombie wins this
How is the PC still at 40%?
Will Ontarian Boomers just support Trudeau and Ford forever?
What are some of the best polling/election accounts on Blu?
I know the OLP race only interests like 5 people total but why is Nate doing sooooo bad on Google Trends?
