Observationally Informed Adaptive Causal Experimental Design
Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent the gold standard for causal inference yet remain a scarce resource. While large-scale observational data is often available, it is utilized only for retr...
I don't fully agree with the abstract: observational data being discarded in trial design due to bias concerns is in my experience far less common than a "who cares about bias just throw in the data" attitude, but anything that makes leveraging existing data more efficient and robust is a win.
06.03.2026 22:02
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Power Echoes: Investigating Moderation Biases in Online Power-Asymmetric Conflicts
Online power-asymmetric conflicts are prevalent, and most platforms rely on human moderators to conduct moderation currently. Previous studies have been continuously focusing on investigating human mo...
n=50 and such, so this is at best an incremental study, but it's a good framing . And note that the study of at least partially online, strongly asymmetric conflicts is for sociology, etc, pretty much the equivalent of the proverbial non-elephant biology.
06.03.2026 21:59
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As a (very large!) second-order effect, note that corruption does not just directly degrade capabilities: to sustain and extend itself is *has* to degrade institutional cognitive systems. There are thresholds past which this sort of damage becomes self-sustaining as well.
06.03.2026 21:55
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I confess I didn't know how bad things had been. It's not surprising he continued to have a career including (up to?) an Avengers movie, but JFC "unsurprising" isn't "acceptable."
via @davallone.bsky.social
06.03.2026 21:40
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This one looks fun: "Coupling of Pawnshop Building Distribution and Urban Spatial Structure in Macau via GIS and Space Syntax Analysis"
05.03.2026 22:58
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Women, Business and the Law | Empower Women | World Bank
Women, Business and the LawΒ is a global benchmarking project measuring how laws and policies shape womenβs economic opportunities across 190 economies.
4%: Women living in countries close to full legal equality. No economy grants women equal economic opportunities.
Always worth re-emphasizing, but obscurity is not the issue, is it? We don't live in a world that lies about gender inequality - we live in a world where power exults in it.
05.03.2026 22:56
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I'm not familiar enough with the food system to comment on this but if the analogy with their takeover of other hyperscale cognitive architectures applies -and I think it does- then, yeah, not good. We're living thru what they did to the public sphere.
by @kaamilahmed.bsky.social on @ipes-food.org
05.03.2026 22:49
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A categorical perspective on constraint satisfaction: The wonderland of adjunctions
The so-called algebraic approach to the constraint satisfaction problem (CSP) has been a prevalent method of the study of complexity of these problems since early 2000's. The core of this approach is ...
Not unrelated to the above. We aren't *quite* there yet (yes, often, for proving theorems, not for solving more concrete problems) but I think it's part of the overall promise of Category Theory: The Type System of Science [1]
[1] Pun/reference intended.
04.03.2026 20:50
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From Parameters to Behaviors: Unsupervised Compression of the Policy Space
Despite its recent successes, Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is notoriously sample-inefficient. We argue that this inefficiency stems from the standard practice of optimizing policies directly in t...
A personal rule of thumb is that pretty much almost always the best way to solve a problem is to find a non-injective function that goes from its current representation to one there's already a solver for.
It's annoying how often it works.
by Davide Tenedini, @ricczamboni.bsky.social, et al
04.03.2026 20:46
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The Mathematics of Change
"Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlessly creative enumeration?" 3/3
04.03.2026 20:33
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Runaway Geodesics
"Her brother moved with a perfection that made her skin crawl." 2/3
04.03.2026 20:33
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Citadel
#AdversarialMetanoia #ScienceFiction #ShortFiction posted on February:
"He used to understand guilt the way a farmer understands crops. Now he has to use drugs to sleep and drugs to wake up and he only stays sober because there is an impossible restitution to dedicate himself to." 1/3
04.03.2026 20:33
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This oversells by several orders of magnitude Trump's pre-Venezuela carefulness, but it does highlight how good of a fit are Trump and -as a system and only half-consciously- the US' concept of a power gap so large it makes analysis or collaboration unnecessary.
via @alanallport.bsky.social
04.03.2026 20:21
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My Immortal
My Immortal is the magnum opus of Tara Gilesbie. It is a Harry Potter fanfiction that was originally posted to Fanfiction.net between 2006 and 2007. It shares its name with an Evanescence song but has...
I've been informed that today is the 20th anniversary of the original posting of "My Immortal."
The emotional shock of this fact will depend on whether you are currently seeing in your mind's eyes "Hi my name is..."
myimmortal.fandom.com/wiki/My_Immo...
03.03.2026 20:46
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The Mathematics of Change
Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlesslyβ¦
"Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlessly creative enumeration?"
#ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
02.03.2026 04:13
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Interference Pattern
"Alice was sure within the first hour of meeting Bob that their families had software-entangled them since birth."
#ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
01.03.2026 16:07
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The problem isn't that this isn't useful to senior developers --ceteris paribus, it is-- the problem is it doesn't improve the rate limiting speed, while managers, thinking it does, actively churn the resources that *are*.
via @donmoyn.bsky.social @drjlhazelton.bsky.social
01.03.2026 16:06
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The Mathematics of Change
Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlesslyβ¦
"Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlessly creative enumeration?"
#ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
01.03.2026 01:15
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The Mathematics of Change
Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlesslyβ¦
"Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlessly creative enumeration?"
#ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
27.02.2026 17:17
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Hard agree on the impact of actual journalism, but what worries me is leverage through audiences with outsized economic or political influence (although I have to concede that CNN might not fall in that group; I'm probably prey to nostalgia).
27.02.2026 01:28
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[1] I know, ahistorical comparisons are unfair, the shoulders of giants, etc. But _sub specie aeternitatis_ I stand by it[2].
[2] And isn't time simultaneous, an intricate jewel, etc?
2/2
27.02.2026 01:19
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I swear this is true: I was about to write that *this* is what "Watchmen" wanted to be[1], then I remembered "Peter Cannon: Thunderbolt"'s take on it, checked a vague memory of who wrote it, and I can only say I hope @kierongillen.bsky.social keeps at it because it works for me. 1/
27.02.2026 01:19
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While @jlray.bsky.social is absolutely right about that side of things, I do worry about asymmetry: X or the Washington Post have systemic impacts by virtue of _who_, not just _how many_, reads them. That said, I don't know who's to CNN what a certain group of pundits is to X.
via @ejfagan.com
27.02.2026 00:54
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The Mathematics of Change
Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlesslyβ¦
"Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlessly creative enumeration?"
#ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
26.02.2026 14:06
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The Mathematics of Change
"Nobody knew how she had bought the thin forest of bell towers that pinned down the old city's neighborhoods; what was one more dark absurdity when the news were little more than their relentlessly creative enumeration?"
#ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
26.02.2026 04:13
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