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Fabian Dablander

@fdabl

Postdoc @ SEVEN, the interdisciplinary climate institute of the University of Amsterdam || Climate action, tipping points, sufficiency, social movements. https://fabiandablander.com/

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Latest posts by Fabian Dablander @fdabl

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๐Ÿšจ Techno-optimism reduces willingness to address climate change ๐Ÿšจ

In a new preprint, @maiensachis.bsky.social, @fdabl.bsky.social, and I examined the causal effect of techno-optimist beliefs on the willingness to contribute to addressing climate change.

๐Ÿ”— Read the paper: lnkd.in/eE847_jK

05.03.2026 13:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 64 ๐Ÿ” 31 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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How climate scientists balance the tension between research and public protest โ€“ new study Researchers said they tried to manage how their activism was perceived by clarifying their expertise and acting alongside other scientists.

How do scientists balance science with protest? My new piece for @theconversation.com, explores how scientists transition into activism and sustain their engagement.

This is based on my recently published ethnographic paper journals.plos.org/climate/arti...

theconversation.com/how-climate-...

23.02.2026 11:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 19 ๐Ÿ” 17 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
The Hardest Lesson | Climate Majority Project
The Hardest Lesson | Climate Majority Project The one lesson he's afraid to teach. Watch. Discuss. Act. Use our Discussion Guide to start a conversation in your classroom, community, or home:โ€ฆ

No one trains teachers for this part of the job.

Watch The Hardest Lesson - a short film about what it's really like to teach during a #climate crisis.

Not the facts.
The feelings.
The silence.
The responsibility.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H-5...

14.02.2026 10:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Important new @annualreviews.bsky.social review on #AMOC collapse. ๐ŸŒŠโš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ”— www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

Here are 8 key takeaways from Dijkstra & van Westen (2026) on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and its risks.

๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿงต

05.02.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 62 ๐Ÿ” 40 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 7
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Reviewing one year of blogging Writing blog posts has been one of the most rewarding experiences for me over the last year. Some posts turned out quite long, others I could keep more concise. Irrespective of length, however, I have...

Haha, thank you! Starting a blog was one of the best decisions I made during my PhD โ€” it warms my heart to remember how much fun I had: fabiandablander.com/r/Reviewing-... More innocent times!

26.01.2026 09:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Graphic shows three line graph time series of monthly carbon dioxide abundance in ppm (blue line), monthly methane abundance in ppb (red line), and monthly nitrous oxide in ppb (purple line). Graphs are all shown from January 1984 through December 2025/September 2025. Current levels of CO2 are 427 ppm. Current levels of methane are 1941 ppb. Current levels of nitrous oxide are 339 ppb. All graphs show long-term increasing trends along with some interannual variability and seasonality.

Graphic shows three line graph time series of monthly carbon dioxide abundance in ppm (blue line), monthly methane abundance in ppb (red line), and monthly nitrous oxide in ppb (purple line). Graphs are all shown from January 1984 through December 2025/September 2025. Current levels of CO2 are 427 ppm. Current levels of methane are 1941 ppb. Current levels of nitrous oxide are 339 ppb. All graphs show long-term increasing trends along with some interannual variability and seasonality.

Status of the most recent monthly-averaged greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide.

Observational data provided by gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/

21.01.2026 12:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 118 ๐Ÿ” 46 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

Speaker Spotlight: Rachel Donald

How can we make sense of a world shaped by interlocking crises? Where in the world can we find stories and places already modeling the changes we need?

We're excited to have @racheldonald.bsky.social help us tackle these questions!

โณ Apply until Jan 26: acscc.nl

22.01.2026 14:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Speaker Spotlight: Kristian Nielsen

How do individual behavior change & broader systems change interact? How can behavioral science realize its full potential to address climate change?

We're excited to have @kristiansn89.bsky.social help us tackle these questions!

โณ Apply until Jan 26: acscc.nl

21.01.2026 10:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Speaker Spotlight: Julia Steinberger

How can societies ensure decent living for all while staying within planetary boundaries?

We are excited to have @jksteinberger.bsky.social as an ACSCC keynote speaker to address this critical question.

โณ Apply until Jan 26 at acscc.nl

12.01.2026 12:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Stephen Miller goes on a rant defending Trump's imperialist aggression against Venezuela: "Weโ€™re a superpowerโ€ฆ we are going to conduct ourselves as a superpower."

Jake Tapper: "I don't even know what you're talking about right now."

05.01.2026 23:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 741 ๐Ÿ” 188 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 138 ๐Ÿ“Œ 146

Just a few things I'd like to say about this @hausfath.bsky.social piece.

The first is that every 10th of a degree of heating over 2C raises risks for multiple irreversible catastrophes MORE than every 10th of a degree of heating under 2C.

That's why the 2C target exists. It's not random.

๐Ÿงต

05.01.2026 19:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 212 ๐Ÿ” 108 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
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Eyes wide open, folks. They're revealing the supervillain plot.

05.01.2026 17:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 5661 ๐Ÿ” 1797 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 661 ๐Ÿ“Œ 362
Screen shot from the show Andor. Someone says to Mon Mothma โ€œThey [meaning the Empire] donโ€™t even bother to lie badly anymore.โ€ Mon replies โ€œI suppose thatโ€™s the final humiliation.โ€

Screen shot from the show Andor. Someone says to Mon Mothma โ€œThey [meaning the Empire] donโ€™t even bother to lie badly anymore.โ€ Mon replies โ€œI suppose thatโ€™s the final humiliation.โ€

This one is resonating today. #Andor

03.01.2026 22:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 4540 ๐Ÿ” 1084 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11 ๐Ÿ“Œ 21
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What better way to end 2025 than getting our paper published in Global Environmental Change ๐Ÿฅณ๐Ÿ’š

We studied perceptions of the feasibility of climate-relevant behavior change and how these perceptions connect to income differences and climate policy support.

Let me tell you all about it๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡

28.12.2025 15:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 50 ๐Ÿ” 22 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

On the 10th Anniversary of the Paris Agreement, youโ€™re going to hear a lot about the progress weโ€™ve made โ€” people saying we โ€œareโ€ heading to 2.5 degrees heating instead of four.

I deeply regret to tell you that this is complacent misinformation.

๐Ÿงต

12.12.2025 12:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 607 ๐Ÿ” 337 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 27 ๐Ÿ“Œ 39
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๐Ÿšจ Mapping Climate Change Coverage ๐Ÿšจ The media plays a crucial role in shaping how political leaders and the public understand the causes, impacts, and solutions to climate change. In our newโ€ฆ | Fabi... ๐Ÿšจ Mapping Climate Change Coverage ๐Ÿšจ The media plays a crucial role in shaping how political leaders and the public understand the causes, impacts, and solutions to climate change. In our new preprin...

In the paper, we provide an extensive validation of our methodology, additional analyses, discussion of limitations, suggestions for future research, and highlight opportunities for more comprehensive climate journalism: osf.io/preprints/so...

See also LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/posts/fabian...

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We hope that our findings and methodology can contribute to a discussion about how the news media can best inform about the causes and impacts of climate change and the full scope of the societal transformations needed to secure a livable and sustainable future for all.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

4๏ธโƒฃ ๐‚๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ž ๐ฉ๐š๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž.
The only clear shifts involves growing attention to net-zero targets and carbon taxes.

๐Ÿ”ฅ๐ŸŒŽ ๐–๐ก๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ?
Informing the public and political leaders about the full range of causes, impacts, and solutions is essential for effective climate action.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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3๏ธโƒฃ ๐‚๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ž ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ง ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ' ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ .
Left-leaning outlets more frequently reported that climate change is human-caused, highlighted fossil fuels as a cause, emphasized the need to reduce their use, and discussed systemic drivers more often.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Economic growth, overconsumption, and inequality in carbon emissions between the rich and poor appeared in less than 5% of articles.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For example, while agriculture is responsible for a third of emissions, it was mentioned eight times less than fossil fuels as a cause of climate change โ€” in a mere 6.3% of all articles. Plant-rich diets as a solution were also comparatively underrepresented.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Figure 1 of the paper summarizing our main results

Figure 1 of the paper summarizing our main results

We found:

1๏ธโƒฃ ๐€๐๐š๐ฉ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐ซ๐š๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐.
Aspects relating to causes, impacts, & mitigation were much more covered than aspects relating to adaptation.

2๏ธโƒฃ ๐‚๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ž ๐š๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ.
Agriculture, overconsumption, carbon inequality, & economic growth were rarely mentioned.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Set of questions we asked for each news article

Set of questions we asked for each news article

We built a custom scraping methodology to get access to virtually all articles about climate change published in major German newspapers since 2010.

We then designed a structured set of IPCC-aligned questions covering causes, impacts, mitigation, and adaptation, and used LLMs for content analysis.

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Title page of our paper

Title page of our paper

๐Ÿšจ Mapping climate change coverage

In a new preprint, Simon Wimmer, @jmbh.bsky.social, and I analyzed over 50,000 articles about climate change from major German newspapers across the political spectrum (2010-2024) using large language models ๐Ÿงต

๐Ÿ”— Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

02.12.2025 09:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 25 ๐Ÿ” 9 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Redirecting

My latest: with @fdabl.bsky.social and JW Bolderdijk we argue that environmental psychology needs formal theory to make progress and increase real-world impact

doi.org/10.1016/j.co...

Part of special issue Behavioral Science for Climate Change by @madalina.bsky.social & @neurograce.bsky.social

24.11.2025 11:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 15 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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I just noticed this too. DeepL suggested I refer to a different different book from the same author. I'm out!

25.11.2025 07:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Scientists are becoming more visible in public climate debates, but the effects of this engagement are far from straightforward. We often hear strong claims about credibility and trust, yet what does the evidence say? Our new preprint explores this osf.io/preprints/ps...

Thread 1/n

19.11.2025 16:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 71 ๐Ÿ” 27 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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โš ๏ธ When โ€œtechnology will save usโ€ becomes a climate risk!

A new paper from great colleagues takes a careful look at techno-optimism โ€” the belief that technology will largely solve climate change โ€” and what it means for real-world climate action.
(1/4)๐Ÿ‘‡
osf.io/preprints/ps...

19.11.2025 16:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 205 ๐Ÿ” 99 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14 ๐Ÿ“Œ 14
Announcement that the applications are open for the third Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change, with speakers including Clare Farrell, Ben Franta, Julia Steinberger, Vรญtor Vasconcelos, and Rachel Donald, with more to come!

Announcement that the applications are open for the third Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change, with speakers including Clare Farrell, Ben Franta, Julia Steinberger, Vรญtor Vasconcelos, and Rachel Donald, with more to come!

I am beyond excited to announce that the applications are now open for the third Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change!

Come visit a beautiful city, hear from world-renowned experts, and work with passionate individuals on challenges related to climate change.

More info: acscc.nl

17.11.2025 09:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 15 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0