Professor Groeteschele

Multiple things can be wrong all at the same time.

You would rather spare yourself the agony of seeing your child suffer those consequences than let them learn hard lessons that will leave them better off in the long run.

Also, pointing to someone else's bad behavior to justify other bad behavior is weakness

Shielding your adult children from the consequences of their bad decisions is bad, actually.
They don't learn to make better decisions and you can't save them forever.

Alcoholics know this as an example of "enablement."

Your desire to do this is natural. However, it's inherently selfish.

Exactly.

The man truly is the textbook example of the Dunning–Kruger effect

I check in on X and there's a guy explaining that obese people should just lose weight if they want to be healthy and a billionaire explaining that stealth fighters can be seen with NVGs so they don't work.

(The Billionaire is soon to be in charge of government efficiency)

Yes, very Christian. Well done.

Indeed. Weird.

This housing first policy has shown real results elsewhere.
This does drive towards the GOP mindset that being homeless is a moral failing. That being an addict is a moral failing.
Unless, of course, you happen to be a white person addicted to pain meds. Then it's Big Pharmas fault.

Stalker 2. I bought it because I wanted to support the makers, but I have tried playing it.
I don't think I would be a very good Stalker. I mostly just run away from everything.

Optimist: The cup is half full.

Pessimist: The cup is half empty.

Deterrence advocate: If you don't fill your cup, I won't fill mine, and we can both have some water in peace.
But any wrong move and I'm dumping the table over.

Optimist: The cup is half full.

Pessimist: The cup is half empty.

Arms Controller: if we pour our cup out, everyone else at the table will as well.

I may be wrong, but im not sure this is Maga brainworms.
Turn the dial back pre-Covid and RFK Jrs positions on health and medicine would be extremely popular in places like Portland Oregon. I think there is some of that still working.

Diagram labeled Terrorism and the Scale of Conflict that is a single line running from Peacekeeping to Thermonuclear war with Terrorism circles and arrows pointing in both directions from it with question marks at the end of each arrow and just trying to explain that made me lose some brain cells

This actual non-satirical chart from Seb Gorka's PhD dissertation also seems relevant again.

I agree with this as well. I was/am a fan of INF, but it does no good if the US is the only one constrained by it.
Arms control in this current environment is going to be a challenge.

Navigating the new nuclear age Nuclear deterrence is neither a magic bullet nor an obsolete relic. It is a complex and dynamic tool that demands continuous adaptation, clear-eyed assessment, and a nuanced understanding of its inher...

engelsbergideas.com/notebook/nav...

#nukesky

Reja Younis is a voice in the new generation of nuclear scholars I really respect and value. As we navigate a period of increasing multipolarity, proliferation risks, and diminished diplomacy, nuance and moderation are key. Highly worth reading.

Yeah. The development of SSC-8 began in the mid-2000s, first tested in 2008, SS-X-31 development began the same year, first tested in 2011 (unsuccessfully). In addition, the SS-26 with both versions of the 9N70 nuclear warhead is known to exceed a range of 500km.
1/3

The chronology of Russian INF-violating weapons development is always good to keep in your back pocket when people start trying to launder the situation into something that looks less like either a severe failure of arms control, or a black and white indictment of Russian state behavior.

Except when one side is honoring the frameworks and the other side isn't you are worse off than if there were no frameworks.
If one side gains an advantage, that can cause real problems in a crisis because the side with the advantage can be much more aggressive.

It didn’t prevent one violation so unclear to me how it would prevent a second. (Or third or fourth)

We have won some sort of lottery in hell.

As #nukesky parses the reality, intent, and meaning of the Russian IRBM-MIRV demonstrative strike, I think it's instructive to recall how the Russians felt about our prior efforts on confidence & security building measures in Europe.

"You Americans already have too much of both."

People in Sci-Fi horror: "Cool! Let's check it out."

RFK Jr. Said the Government May Have Planned COVID In previously unreported remarks, Trump’s HHS nominee said he found the "plandemic" conspiracy persuasive.

NEW: In previously unreported remarks, Trump’s HHS nominee said that he was open to the possibility that Covid-19 pandemic was, in fact, a “plandemic”—an infectious disease outbreak orchestrated by government officials to effectively subdue the populace

www.thebulwark.com/p/rfk-govern...

I'm not saying we should ignore nuclear threats - but we should understand them in context

OTD in 1938 the Great Purge ended by decree. I'm different to Stalin. He had purge first, then military disaster. I had disaster first & now I need purge.

I remain a master strategist.

My favorite Colby bit was when he wrote how invading Mexico was a waste of time and resources, than a bunch of GOP officials came out in favor like a day later, than he pivoted to, “Hm, actually it’s a great strategic pivot.” Just sycophants who crave power, that’s all they are

Idk tbh.

Right but how else are going to know how important I am if I don't fill my sentences with acronyms and other NatSec signals?

Did you ever consider my need to feel way more important and knowledgeable than those around me?

You keep your reaganite paws off him.