ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government
26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York
@emmadouyon.bsky.social, Frantz Duval,
@fortid1.bsky.social, @diegodarin.bsky.social & @renatasegura.bsky.social
Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
With strong quotes from @fortid1.bsky.social.
Richard has spent the past few weeks canvassing colleagues at the UN about what they expect from the new US administration.
He lays out a few ideas, and more uncertainties, in this new article for @justsecurity.org
While there is a lot of talk about a "crisis of peacekeeping" @fortid1.bsky.social and I argue @crisisgroup.org that the debate about the future of UN peace ops is starting to get a little more positive and constructive.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
A reason not to give up on UN missions is the difficulty of sustaining credible alternatives. But says @fortid1.bsky.social @richardgowan1.bsky.social UN members should bear in mind that Trump's White Hse is almost certain to ask hard questions about their value.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
NEW COMMENTARY | Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
In our latest for @crisisgroup.org, @richardgowan1.bsky.social and I take stock of recent peacekeeping debates at the UN.
We argue that the time is ripe for fresh thinking about the future of UN missions.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
The biggest change is, of course, the fact that China—the 2nd largest assessed contributor—is now responsible for over 20% under both scales. The fact that the two largest contributors do not pay assessments on time is one of the main factors driving the ongoing liquidity crisis at the UN. [2/3]
Story from friends at @screport.bsky.social here:
www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/...
Big vote in UNSC tomorrow to determine the fate of @ATMIS_Somalia / #AUSSOM
Rapid reaction: 2719 closer to reality but not a done deal.
Next decision point in May ‘25 with different US leadership at the table.
Good to see African/Euro synergies.
AU, UN ops still in limbo.
At least 184 people killed in Port-au-Prince’s Cite de Soleil neighborhood. The MSS said to the NYT they were not aware of the killings.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
go.bsky.app/DU5QZKc
THREAD 🧵: The ceasefire in Lebanon and the current turmoil in Syria has prompted a recalibration of priorities among Iraqi resistance groups. Before, their attacks on Israel kept the government busy trying to avert potential Israeli strikes on Iraq. 1/9
NEW Q&A | Syria’s North-western Front Erupts
Rebels have captured Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, putting the Syrian government on the back foot.
In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain what has happened and how the various parties may react.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
At times, it may seem that all @CrisisGroup work is exclusively in English. You'll be pleased to know that we're trying to promote our work in other languages as well - including French, Spanish, Arabic etc
Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...
Israel and Lebanon (meaning Hezbollah) agreed to a ceasefire a week ago. How is it faring? UNIFIL reports already 100 Israeli violations. Yet by and large the ceasefire seems to be holding. What can we expect? My @crisisgroup.org colleagues offer their views. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
NEW REPORT | A Course Correction for Mali’s Sovereign Turn
Since coming to power in 2021 after two coups d’état, the Malian authorities have taken a “sovereignist” turn that is transforming the country’s domestic policy and foreign relations.
www.crisisgroup.org/en/africa/sa...
Happy to be at #CAF24Berlin on behalf of @crisisgroup.org!
Looking forward to continuing the debates about the future of UN peace operations with colleagues from around the world.
Many thanks to @challengesforum.bsky.social & @zif.bsky.social
Also on who is HTS, how they got here, their evolving position on other radicals, Turkey and their approach to governance based on interviews with Jolani and other leaders: cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/ha...
Exciting to see Richard Atwood @crisisgroup.org join the Eighth Advisory Group of the UN Peacebuilding Fund.
A lot of important work ahead!
www.un.org/sg/en/conten...
UN OCHA recently announced that 2024 has become the "the deadliest year on record for aid workers..." and we still have a month left
281 humanitarian workers were killed this year.
In Gaza alone since Oct 7, 320 humanitarian personnel have been killed.
www.ochaopt.org/content/un-r...
Over here!
On the new @crisisgroup.org War & Peace podcast, Elissa Jobson & I welcome back @joshuakucera.bsky.social to talk Georgia. We unpack Georgian Dream's popularity & election fraud accusations against it, future EU roles, & whether Abkhazia unrest is driven by local, regional, or geopolitical factors.
I have a new essay @foreignaffairs.com on US-Egypt relations after a year plus of regional war and intensive diplomatic collaboration to end the fighting in Gaza. Alignment extends beyond the war, but accepting status quo in Egypt carries longer term risks.
reader.foreignaffairs.com/2024/11/26/d...
One underrated aspect of this question is that Somali officials will spend the next two years in the Security Council working alongside U.S. counterparts on a daily basis.
This won't be determinative, but it's fair to assume that these two govs will interact a lot more than in years past.
“It is politically easier to make the case for funding missiles than mediators.”
Our President and CEO @comfortero.bsky.social argues that while global conflict is rising, peacemaking is still vital in @economist.com.
www.economist.com/the-world-ah...
As previously promised, some thoughts on Russia's new nuclear doctrine, RS-26, & the Russo-Ukrainian war. A 🧵
1) on doctrine, @shakirov2036.bsky.social's thread of 19 Nov does a great side-by-side of what's changed. I won't recreate it. I'll just highlight what I think matters most
1/15
Panama, a newly elected member of the UNSC for 2025-26, with a scathing assessment of COP29:
“I think 1.5C was at the intensive care unit and it feels like that bed just broke and it fell on the floor.”
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Looks like a fascinating read! Excited to get my hands on a copy.
