David H. Montgomery

How the American Jeep Shocked the Germans on D-Day YouTube video by WW II Storyteller

A German officer facing an endless tide of replaceable, repairable American Jeeps in WWII: "We perfect individual vehicles while they perfect the system that produces vehicles." www.youtube.com/watch?v=46Wv...

cropped, this chart becomes amazing

Kasey Chambers - Lose Yourself (Eminem Cover) LIVE @ Civic Theatre, Newcastle AU YouTube video by Kasey Chambers

One more...this was quite the surprise.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=S70x...

Reza Pahlavi gets what he wanted - the re establishment of an Iranian ruling dynasty. Everyone wins!

A stacked bar chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Americans are much more likely to think they'd approve of the U.S. conflict with Iran if it finishes quickly than if it lasts months." The chart has the sub-headline: "If the U.S. conflict with Iran [finishes in less than a week / lasts more than two months], do you think you would approve or disapprove of it? (%)."

% of Americans who say they'd approve / disapprove of the U.S. conflict with Iran if...

It was over in a week: 48% / 27%
It lasted 2+ months: 27% / 51%

More from YouGov's new poll: yougov.com/en-us/daily-...

your number one source for BRAKING NEWS

I want Peter Jackson to remake Waterloo (1970). Let the man direct a cavalry charge again!

So if no claimant is legitimate, then every claimant is equally legitimate…

We give past generations extraordinary benefit of the doubt in these arguments. For instance: "people used to watch politicians debate the great issues of the day!" vs "people mostly gathered to watch speakers insult or even fight each other."

(Source: @jbf1755.bsky.social's "The Field of Blood")

from @abeliansoup.bsky.social

Biden peaked at 45% strongly disapprove after rounding a few times between March and July 2024, in Economist / YouGov polling.

This is the first time Trump strongly disapprove has been over 50% after rounding, in either term. (He was 50.2% in late October 2020.) Checking Biden now.

YouGov's final #txsen Democratic poll:

an incredible distraction from present panic is historical panic! in sheep no less

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) is up, pressing Noem on all the constitutional violations she's overseen in Minnesota.

She gets Noem to give a # of federal immigration enforcement officers still in the state: close to 650, she says.

So not down to 150, which Homan said he would do weeks ago.

Seventy-six young men without college degrees
With 110 non-white panelists
We've got an N above a thousand, more than ample
For a sample
Sampling error low for your analysis

"You say you got POLLS? Right here in River City? Polls with a nonresponse rate that'll obfuscate — ya need PANELS!"

"In particular, while expressive responding clearly causes surveys to exaggerate the extent to which partisanship acts as a perceptual screen, the same forces that produce expressive responding in surveys may also affect the political judgments people make in real life."

He secretly doesn’t think nonprobability sampling works, and has to overcome the skepticism of Marian, the local data journalist. But to his shock at the end, his panel accurately predicts the results of River City’s bond levy referendum to fund a new marching band.

Are you taking investors for your adaptation of “The Music Man” where Harold Hill is a fast-talking traveling pollster trying to persuade the people of River City to adopt nonprobability online panels instead of their tried-and-true landline surveys?

YouGov's state polling has been very good recently (nailed the NJ and VA gov races last year). Primaries are a different beast, but worth indexing on this new poll of TX. Has Talarico +13 and Paxton +4

yougovamerica.substack.com/p/polls-on-t...

All discourse about Bluesky will generate discourse about Bluesky that both refutes and proves the discourse about Bluesky.

A split bar chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn and Wesley Hunt for U.S. Senate among likely Texas Republican primary voters." The chart has the sub-headline: "Who [did/will/would] you vote for in the Republican primary for U.S. Senator? (% of likely Republican primary voters)." The chart has the note: "Note: Likely voters are respondents who say they will definitely vote in the Republican primary, or who already voted. Responses of "undecided" and "another candidate" are not shown. Identification as a MAGA Republican is based on Republicans' responses to the question, "Are you a MAGA supporter?" Non-MAGA likely Republican primary voters are those who say "no"; likely Republican primary voters who say "not sure" are not shown."

New polling from YouGov: Among likely #txsen Republican primary voters, Ken Paxton has 36%, John Cornyn has 32%, and Wesley Hunt 17%. More here: yougovamerica.substack.com/p/polls-on-t...

A stacked bar chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett for U.S. Senate among likely Texas Democratic primary voters." The chart has the sub-headline: "Who [did/will] you vote for in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? (% of likely Democratic primary voters)." The chart has the note: "Note: Likely voters are respondents who say they will definitely vote in the Democratic primary, or who already voted."

New polling from YouGov: Among likely #txsen Democratic primary voters, @jamestalarico.bsky.social leads with 53% to @jasmineforus.bsky.social's 40%, with 7% undecided. More here: yougovamerica.substack.com/p/polls-on-t...

rigorous scientific testing continues to indicate there is no circumstance under which this site is not Like This

You’re free to quote with attribution!

I appreciate a comic with citations