Peter du Toit

Global Warming has Accelerated My paper with Stefan Rahmstorf showing that global warming has accelerated was published in Geophysical Research Letters today. The main result is that global warming is NOT proceeding at the same …

It seems 2°C will be arriving faster than anyone anticipated.

“My advice: fasten your seat belt, things are going to get ugly.”— Grant Foster

#ClimateCrisis

I use @fedica.com - created a new app password after migration but it’s not staying authorised in Fedica- any ideas how to overcome this?

NEW – Heatwaves driving recent ‘surge’ in compound drought and heat extremes

✍️ @yaninequiroz.bsky.social

Read here: buff.ly/l0LE1CB

I agree with James of course.

But let’s be honest, the writing has been on wall regarding being able to limit heating to 2°C for a while.

From the UNEP 2025 Emissions Gap Report 👇🏻

Some pastoralists in Somalia are losing almost all their animals as drought tightens its grip, just as humanitarian funding has sharply decreased, forcing many organizations to close programmes.

From the frontlines of the #ClimateCrisis

Prolonged drought pushes 6.5 million Somalis toward acute food insecurity.

https://www.climatecentre.org/16802/icrc-prolonged-drought-pushes-6-5-million-somalis-toward-acute-food-insecurity/

People and rescue forces work following a strike on a school in Minab, Iran, February 28, 2026.

Exclusive: US investigation points to likely US responsibility in Iran school strike.

“Deliberately attacking ⁠a school ​or hospital or any other civilian structure would likely be a war crime under ​international humanitarian law.”

www.reuters.com/world/middle...

Iran school and nearby military base struck multiple times, satellite image reveals Iranian authorities say the attack, which took place on Saturday, killed 168 people.

BBC Verify has pieced together verified videos, satellite imagery and expert views after a deadly attack near a primary school in Minab, souther Iran, which suggest the area was hit more than once "by multiple simultaneous or near-simultaneous strikes".

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Hansen quote source:

www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...

“We [infer] that global temperature, after reaching a minimum about +1.4°C in the first half of 2026, will rise to about +1.7°C in the first half of 2027, as spurred by even a moderately strong El Nino.”— @drjamesehansen.bsky.social et al, Feb 6, 2026

More climate chaos loading.

Iran attacks show the perils of following America’s economic lead A growth plan of renewable energy and diversified trade is far better than guzzling fossil fuels and aligning with the US

International Energy Agency reduced its forecast for US renewables growth by nearly 50 % because of Trump removing tax incentives and blocking new wind projects, but increased forecast India by 10 %, citing increases in the capacity of onshore wind and solar generation.

www.ft.com/content/8dc2...

Corporate Media Buries Story of US and Israel Killing 168 in Girls School Attack No front-page stories in NYT, WSJ, WaPo. No mention on NBC and CBS Sunday Shows. No stand alone segments on Evening News shows. A death count on par with the OKC bombing is relegated to the back page.

I wrote about how the US and Israel carried out an attack on an Iranian girls school on par with the OKC bombing and US media relegated it to a back page story. No stand alone evening news segments, no front page stories, it made A11 in the NYT then everyone moved on.

Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments - Nature Meta-analyses on a global scale show that the measured coastal mean sea level is higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments.

The closer we look, the more we see how much worse our predicament actually is.

Millions of coastal dwelling humans will be on the move soon.

We are absolutely NOT prepared.

#ClimateCrisis #SeaLevelRise

peterdutoit.com: Registrant on eurosky.social: #1,341

👋🏻

100% this!

Time series chart showing the fraction of new car sales by year that are electric for China and selected other countries.

China knows the liability that oil import dependencies create, and how to play the long game.

New car sales in China have gone from 6% electric in 2020 to 51% electric in 2025.

This is large-scale industrial policy in service of national security goals.

E-commerce is booming… and so are delivery emissions.

In Quito, electric bikes and trikes are proving a cleaner, cheaper way to deliver.

Through UNEP’s Global Electric Mobility Programme, projects like this show how zero-emission deliveries can scale globally.
https://ow.ly/q6AJ50Yoqh1

ENSO neutral conditions expected as La Niña fades, but El Niño chances rise

ICYMI

March 3rd WMO ENSO update:

wmo.int/news/media-c...

#CopernicusAtmosphere dust aerosol optical depth forecast shows a massive #SaharanDust plume crossing NW Africa, W Mediterranean + parts of Europe through the first week of March.

Read the article ⬇️

NEW: Ferry pollution is worse than all the cars combined in many European port cities… but more than half of European ferries could be electric by 2035.

With the average ferry being 26 years old, the fleet is ripe for renewal now.
🧵⤵️

Ethiopia EV Boom Sparked by ICE Car Import Ban The East African country is making use of cheap hydropower and Chinese electric vehicles to ditch the internal combustion engine.

Countries like Ethiopia are showing what can be done if you're serious about cutting fossil-fuel dependence or managing financial crises.

Financial crisis --> Fossil fuel subsidies become unaffordable --> Ban fossil-fuel car import --> Electric car boom

www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

This past winter was the 8th wettest on record for England, according to provisional stats from the @metoffice.gov.uk

It was the wettest winter on record for three counties: West Midlands, Cornwall and Leicestershire

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...

The strikes on Iran show why quitting oil is more important than ever Oil isn’t a normal commodity – it shapes politics around the world.

As I said earlier - this is a great idea!

Win for the climate
Win for less city pollution
Win for everyone's pockets

Climate change: Doom versus gloom Should we hope for the best and prepare for the worst when tackling climate change?

"Thinking through the implications of 4C warming shows that the impacts are so significant that the only real adaptation strategy is to avoid that at all cost because of the pain & suffering that is going to cost. There is no science on how we are going to adapt to 4C warming" @neiladger.bsky.social

Bombings in Iran raise fears of oil crisis The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Israeli strikes in Iran are reigniting the specter of a surge in crude oil prices. But the global economy is less vulnerable today than it was during the 197...

Another reason why countries that are pushing for transport electrification will benefit!

Breaking their reliance on petrostates!

www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/a...

Security in the Age of Climate and Disinformation - Munich Security Conference 2026 YouTube video by We Don't Have Time

In this conversation @annazeiter.bsky.social (CEO wsocial.eu) confirms that WSocial is built on atproto.

Fantastic to see this initiative along with eurosky.social coming out of Europe.

This is desperately needed for those of us wanting to get off American tech!

youtu.be/ftV54-u4e-I

Another important step in my data migration out of the US!

I am now coming to you from @eurosky.social

Thank you to the Eurosky team for making the migration process absolutely flawless! 👊🏻

Many look at this data and think “the kids are going to have a rough time!” While that is true of course, impacts are not a 2100 problem, they are a NOW problem!

As the next El Niño loads prepare for more fossil fuel driven climate chaos as we pass through ~1.5° on our way to 2° and more.

Perfect!

Question: are domain name migrations also flawless? Asking for a friend 😅

Fig. 1. Global surface temperature (relative to 1880-1920 base period).1

“We [infer] that global temperature, after reaching a minimum about +1.4°C in the first half of 2026, will rise to about +1.7°C in the first half of 2027, as spurred by even a moderately strong El Nino.”—Hansen et al, 6 Feb 2026

www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...

We are mostly completely unprepared!