Rúben Amorim has been sacked by Manchester United.
Manchester United are no better than when he arrived.
Here are excerpts from my September article below, where I suggested Amorim should be dismissed.
Model Updated Post-GW20 📊
Here is a pack of data:
🖥️ Simulated Table (4 Jan)
📅 GW21 Match Predictions
🥅 GW21 Goal Involvement
⚽️ GW21 - 26 Predicted Goals
Leeds - Man United Post-Match Report 📊
Outcome not too far away from expectations. This is roughly what it looks like when a mid-table side faces a strong promoted side.
These are the kind of fixtures you need to see Man United win 3-0 if you want to believe they're improving.
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (1 Jan 2026)
A big weekend of results for Arsenal. The likelihood of becoming champions has increased to 71%. 🏆
The points gain for Arsenal will be greater from me than from other sources because I rate Aston Villa and Sunderland lower than the consensus.
Volatile performances, but no doubt in my mind that Maresca was a success at Chelsea.
The youngest squad in the league transformed into the 4th-best team in an increasingly competitive landscape.
I don’t see this change making them better.
This is the worst Liverpool have been in years.
Simulated Premier League Table 📊 (28 Dec 2025)
📈 An incredibly unlikely run from Aston Villa sees them fighting Liverpool for 3rd place
🏆 Man City keeping Arsenal honest
⬇️ West Ham going down
A lot could be pinned on United being bad but a very confusing performance from you!
you were so good at exploiting space and generating threat but had such bad decision-making and execution in finishing those sequences
I hope to get better at articulating this, but not even football escapes the fact of life that any increase in decision quality improves the outcomes associated with such decisions
I always come back to this Rene Maric quote:
7/
Kayode's carry causes:
(1) a resulting disruption to the opposition;
(2) that gives Brentford the ability to better control the sequence of play;
(3) allowing them to make higher quality decisions;
(4) that increase goal probability.
6/
But for me, it is more interesting because I just can't shake the idea that there is something slightly beyond our current data e.g. measuring just the pure increase in threat location, the resulting xG values, etc.
How do we capture the value of what Kayode does here?
5/
It is a brilliant way to use the horizontal - to find the diagonal - to get a vertical result (more on that here spielverlagerung.com/2025/06/12/t....
This results in the unique carrying map above and data profile make-up below - I don't think there are many similar full-backs
4/
This encourages Kayode to continue the run and ends up in a very similar situation - again he goes unchallenged and the carry results in a successful end product via pass to the winger
3/
This carry vs Liverpool is a good example.
Kayode receives near the touchline in a surrounded position
The horizontal run allows him to go unchallenged as the opposition is more concerned with retaining shape but allowing Kayode central space and diagonal opportunity
2/
Michael Kayode has a very interesting carrying repertoire.
In particular, he can suddenly decide to go on an adventure across the field (see the long red lines below).
This sends me into my frequent spiral about what matters and what is measurable in football
1/
Premier League Simulated Table 🎄 (22 Dec)
⬆️ Aston Villa somehow creep into 4th place
🤏 Just 8 points separate 6th and 13th
⬇️ West Ham looking likely to go down #JusticeForPotter
Without Bruno, United’s projected goals would only fall slightly.
A single absentee always has less impact on the team than people imagine.
Cunha profiles well at ~0.7 goal involvement.
Comparison of team strength models (@analytic.football @elevenify.com @solioanalytics.com) going into GW17.
Goals scored/prevented/difference vs league average
This is the strongest Man United have been since Amorim arrived.
However, it’s only about on par with the level of the side he originally inherited.
In the context of how competitive the league has become, this might be considered progress.
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (15 Dec 2025)
Arsenal's 10-point projected lead from last month is now down to just 4 points 📉
European places continue to be a battle of mediocrity 🤷♂️
Sunderland keep getting away with it ⬆️
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (8 Dec 2025)
Arsenal fans can start feeling a little nervous 🏆
Another huge week for Leeds ⬆️
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (4 Dec 2025)
📉 Liverpool not finishing top 3 is becoming feasible
⬆️ Really important week for Leeds
🇪🇺 Europe places are so competitive
Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le...
im not sure what this means but if you are OR 10,000 or 30,000 and I above you I promise to delete my account so you can keep your record
Here’s the weekly change in overall rating so far this season 📈
Each panel uses an independent scale, so you can see how sentiment is trending for each team
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (9 Nov 2025)
Man City making sure Arsenal don't get comfortable.
Most interesting relegation fight in years.
Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le...
Performance vs Expectations 📊 (5 Nov Update)
As a reminder, this model view shows who’s really improving or declining by factoring in what most expected stats ignore: fixture difficulty, game state, red cards, pens, finishing, and more.
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (3 Nov 2025)
A simple week overall, with results mostly in line with expectations.
Except one: West Ham’s surprise win keeps the relegation battle exciting.
Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le...
Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (26th Oct)
Almost impossible for Arsenal to mess it up now 🏆
Wolves are the new favourites for 20th. ⬇️
Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le...
Wolves have flirted with relegation for too long.
Since 23/24, they’ve shown no improvement, just stagnating at relegation standard.
Benefiting from good bounces and weak promoted sides.
At some point, that luck runs out.
This is your weekly reminder that Arsenal are going to win the Premier League 🏆
