Data for Progress

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Across Party Lines Want More Epstein Accountability. Description: When thinking about the Epstein files, which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) The Justice Department and FBI should be doing more to hold people who were named in the Epstein files accountable, including making arrests. B) Don't know C) The federal government has done enough at this point regarding releasing the Epstein files, and should move on to more important policy issues. All likely voters — 72% chose A, 4% chose B, 23% chose C Democrat — 87% chose A, 3% chose B, 11% chose C Independent / Third party — 73% chose A, 5% chose B, 22% chose C Republican — 57% chose A, 6% chose B, 37% chose C February 27–March 3, 2026 survey of 1,134 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: Nearly 3 in 4 voters (72%) say the Justice Department and FBI should be doing more to hold people named in the Epstein files accountable.

But only 35% think arrests will actually happen.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/3/...

The Voters Who Delivered Trump's 2024 Victory Are Fleeing His Coalition the Fastest Being a voter of color and consuming a low amount of political news are two of the strongest indicators that a Trump 2024 voter would now vote for a generic Democrat for Congress.

Who are the voters who are defecting from Trump?

Our new analysis finds that being a voter of color and having low political news consumption are two of the strongest indicators that a Trump voter would now choose a Democrat for Congress.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think AI Will Increase the Wealth of Billionaires — but Not the Wealth of Ordinary People. Description: Below are some statements about Artificial Intelligence (AI). For each, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement. AI will increase the wealth of billionaires — Agree: 65%, Disagree: 17% AI will increase the wealth of everyday people — Agree: 28%, Disagree: 57% February 13–17, 2026 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.

A majority of voters (65%) say that AI will increase the wealth of billionaires, but only 27% say the same for everyday people.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/3/...

Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Increasingly Think AI Is Likely to Hurt the Economy. Description: Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if none are exactly right? AI is likely to help the American economy — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Dec 13, 2025 (36%) and the lowest response recorded on Feb 17, 2026 (28%). AI is likely to have little effect on the American economy — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Dec 13, 2025 (20%) and the lowest response recorded on Feb 17, 2026 (20%). AI is likely to hurt the American economy — Increased, with the highest response reported on Feb 17, 2026 (46%) and the lowest response recorded on Dec 13, 2025 (37%). Don't know — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Dec 13, 2025 (7%) and the lowest response recorded on Feb 17, 2026 (6%). 2 surveys of 2,373 U.S. likely voters, conducted December 13, 2025–February 17, 2026.

NEW: Voters increasingly think AI is more likely to hurt than help the economy.

A majority of voters (54%) also think that AI is likely to increase the percentage of Americans who are unemployed.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/3/...

Polling on Trump's Proposal to Nationalize Elections (March 2026)

See the full crosstabs here: www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Majority of Likely Voters Oppose Trump's Proposal to "Nationalize" Elections. Description: Currently, state governments have full control over how election ballots are distributed, counted, and tabulated in the U.S. President Trump has recently called for Republicans in Congress to "nationalize" elections. This would mean that the federal government, not state governments, would have full control over how election ballots are distributed, counted, and tabulated during each election cycle, including during the midterm elections this year. Do you support or oppose this proposal? All likely voters — Support: 33%, Oppose: 60% Democrat — Support: 10%, Oppose: 86% Independent / Third party — Support: 30%, Oppose: 59% Republican — Support: 60%, Oppose: 32% February 27–March 3, 2026 survey of 1,134 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: A majority of voters (60%) — including 85% of Democrats, 60% of Independents, and 32% of Republicans — oppose President Trump’s proposal to “nationalize” elections.

Public Opinion on Artificial Intelligence Varies Widely by Age, Gender, Race, and Frequency of Use Republicans, men, younger voters, voters of color, and frequent AI users indicate more favorable views of the technology.

Read the full poll here: www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: More Than Half of Voters Are Using AI at Least Monthly. Description: How frequently, if at all, do you do each of the following? Use Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools, such as ChatGPT, <strong>for your job</strong>* — Multiple times a day: 14%, About once a day: 8%, A few times a week: 22%, A few times a month: 11%, Rarely or never: 44% Use Artificial Intelligence (AI) services, such as ChatGPT, <strong>in your personal life</strong> — Multiple times a day: 10%, About once a day: 11%, A few times a week: 19%, A few times a month: 11%, Rarely or never: 48% Look at or watch pictures or videos made by AI — Multiple times a day: 9%, About once a day: 10%, A few times a week: 18%, A few times a month: 16%, Rarely or never: 48% February 13–17, 2026 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.<br>*Question only asked to the 625 respondents who are currently employed.

A majority of voters say they are using AI at least a few times a month for their job (55% among employed voters) and in their personal life (51%).

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Artificial Intelligence Is Viewed Most Favorably by Republicans, Men, Younger Voters, Voters of Color, and Frequent AI Users. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following people or institutions? — Artificial Intelligence (AI) All likely voters — Favorable: 48%, Unfavorable: 46% Democrat — Favorable: 46%, Unfavorable: 49% Independent / Third party — Favorable: 43%, Unfavorable: 49% Republican — Favorable: 53%, Unfavorable: 42% Female — Favorable: 41%, Unfavorable: 51% Male — Favorable: 56%, Unfavorable: 41% Under 45 — Favorable: 61%, Unfavorable: 36% 45+ — Favorable: 42%, Unfavorable: 51% No College — Favorable: 46%, Unfavorable: 48% College — Favorable: 51%, Unfavorable: 44% Black or African American — Favorable: 61%, Unfavorable: 32% White — Favorable: 46%, Unfavorable: 49% Latino — Favorable: 51%, Unfavorable: 41% At least once a day — Favorable: 76%, Unfavorable: 20% At least a few times a month — Favorable: 65%, Unfavorable: 32% Rarely or never — Favorable: 24%, Unfavorable: 67% February 13–17, 2026 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: Public opinion on AI varies widely across demographic lines.

Republicans, men, younger voters, voters of color, and frequent AI users are most favorable of the technology.

The 20th Progressive Tech Open Mic Hosted by Data for Progress Wednesday March 11, 2026 at 4pm ET

Data for Progress is hosting our next Progressive Tech Open Mic on March 11 at 4pm ET!

We're now accepting submissions to present — please reach out if you have a topic or cool project you'd like to share.

To RSVP or sign up to present, please email erin@dataforprogress.org.

Voters Think Trump Has Been Mostly Dishonest About Epstein — and Find Attacks Against the “Epstein Class” Convincing While awareness of the Epstein files has grown significantly and voters express skepticism about Trump’s honesty, support for impeachment remains more limited.

Read the full poll here:

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Slight Plurality Want Trump Impeached Over His Handling of the Epstein Files. Description: Do you think Donald Trump should be impeached for his alleged association with Jeffrey Epstein and the handling of the Epstein files? All likely voters — Yes, he should be impeached: 48%, Don't know: 7%, No, he should not be impeached: 45% Democrat — Yes, he should be impeached: 81%, Don't know: 8%, No, he should not be impeached: 12% Independent / Third party — Yes, he should be impeached: 49%, Don't know: 11%, No, he should not be impeached: 40% Republican — Yes, he should be impeached: 14%, Don't know: 3%, No, he should not be impeached: 82% February 13–17, 2026 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.

A plurality (48%) of voters say President Trump should be impeached for his alleged association with Jeffrey Epstein and his handling of the Epstein files, while 45% say he should not be impeached.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Find Statements About the "Epstein Class" to Be Convincing. Description: For each of the following statements, please indicate how convincing you find each one. "The Epstein class that has accumulated power and doesn't play by the rules and has impunity at the expense of ordinary Americans. The Epstein class has got to go. And the reason they're gonna go is the progressive left and the MAGA right and everyone in between is finally waking up against this rotten system." — Convincing: 66%, Not Convincing: 34% "Trump was supposed to fight for the working class. Instead, he's literally closing rural clinics and hospitals to cut taxes for George Soros and Elon Musk. This is a government of, by, and for the ultra-rich. It is the wealthiest cabinet ever. This is the Epstein class ruling our country. They are the elites they pretend to hate." — Convincing: 58%, Not Convincing: 42% February 13–17, 2026 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.

Voters find two statements about the “Epstein class” — one from @khanna.house.gov and the other from @ossoff.bsky.social — to be convincing.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Trump Has Been Mostly Dishonest About the Epstein Files. Description: Do you think President Trump's statements about the Epstein files have been mostly honest or mostly dishonest? All likely voters — Mostly honest: 36%, Don't know: 10%, Mostly dishonest: 55% Democrat — Mostly honest: 9%, Don't know: 5%, Mostly dishonest: 86% Independent / Third party — Mostly honest: 27%, Don't know: 13%, Mostly dishonest: 60% Republican — Mostly honest: 68%, Don't know: 12%, Mostly dishonest: 19% February 13–17, 2026 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: A majority of voters (55%) — including 60% of Independents — think President Trump has been mostly dishonest about the Epstein files.

Alt text: Horizontal bar chart titled “Most Heard News Story, Feb. 13–17, 2026.” Question asks what specific news story respondents heard about most in the past week. The top response is “Nancy Guthrie kidnapping / disappearance” (310), ahead of “Epstein files” (154) and “ICE operations and enforcement” (145). Other notable mentions: “Nothing / None” (94), “All other items” (57), “Trump general criticism / behavior” (42), “Winter Olympics” (41), “Pam Bondi testimony” (38), “Government shutdown” (34), and “Super Bowl halftime show” (33). Remaining topics each receive 26 or fewer mentions. Survey conducted Feb. 13–17, 2025 among 1,228 registered voters; open-ended responses categorized.

NEW: Over the last weekend, voters heard the most about the kidnapping of Nancy Guthrie, followed by the Epstein files and ICE operations.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

Polling on Trump and Fascism (February 2026)

See the full crosstabs here: www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think That What's Happening in Politics Today Could Lead to Severe Harms That Can't Be Undone. Description: Setting aside what others may have told you about what's happening in politics, which of the following statements best describes what your gut is telling you, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) What's happening in politics today could lead to severe harms to my family, community, and the country that can't be undone. B) No matter what's happening in politics today, my family, community, and the country will be fine in the end. All likely voters — 60% chose A, 40% chose B Democrat — 76% chose A, 24% chose B Independent / Third party — 62% chose A, 38% chose B Republican — 41% chose A, 59% chose B January 30–February 2, 2026 survey of 1,307 U.S. likely voters.

A majority of voters (60%) — including 76% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 41% of Republicans — think “what's happening in politics today could lead to severe harms to my family, community, and the country that can't be undone.”

Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Increasingly Think the Trump Administration Is Operating Like a Fascist Regime. Description: Which of the following statements best describes your view, even if neither is exactly right? The Trump administration is acting like any other conservative government operating in a democracy. — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Apr 18, 2025 (50%) and the lowest response recorded on Feb 02, 2026 (42%). The Trump administration has completely broken from previous standards and is operating more like a fascist regime. — Increased, with the highest response reported on Feb 02, 2026 (58%) and the lowest response recorded on Apr 18, 2025 (50%). 2 surveys of 2,478 U.S. likely voters, conducted April 18, 2025–February 2, 2026.

NEW w/ @tarabuss.bsky.social and @anatosaurus.bsky.social: Last April, 50% of voters believed that “the Trump administration has completely broken from previous standards and is operating more like a fascist regime.”

Today, that number is 58%.

Voters Think DHS Funding Should Be Conditioned on Immigration Enforcement Reform. A) This policy must be in place before DHS receives more funding B) Don’t know C) This policy does not need to be in place for DHS to receive more funding Requiring agents to have body cameras at all times while on duty — 72% A, 9% B, 18% C Ensuring full, independent, and transparent investigations into all DHS-related shootings and deaths, including federal cooperation with state and local investigations — 66% A, 12% B, 22% C Requiring judicial warrants (warrants signed by a judge) to conduct raids or arrests on private property — 62% A, 11% B, 28% C Ending arrests at sensitive locations such as churches, shelters, schools, and courthouses — 57% A, 12% B, 31% C Requiring agents to be fully identifiable, preventing the use of masks on duty — 56% A, 10% B, 33% C Ending all detention and deportation of U.S. citizens — 55% A, 13% B, 33% C

NEW: A majority of voters want to see reforms put into place before DHS receives more funding — including body cameras, independent investigations, and judicial warrants.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...

Brand new polling from Data for Progress, shared first with Strength In Numbers, shows voters back Dems in the DHS shutdown over ICE — and overwhelmingly favor key reforms such as preventing mask-wearing (+23) and requiring judicial warrants for arrests (+34): www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-...

A Majority of Voters Agree With the Endangerment Finding An overwhelming majority of voters think greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane should be regulated.

We also find that 86% of voters think that these emissions should be regulated — including 79% of Republicans.

Full poll:

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/8/...

This move is completely out of step with public opinion — only 15% of voters think greenhouse gas emissions are not a threat to public health.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Blocking ICE Enforcement at Election-Related Sites. Description: Do you support or oppose the federal government taking the following actions related to immigration policy? — Blocking ICE enforcement actions at polling locations or other election-related sites All likely voters — Support: 56%, Oppose: 34% Democrat — Support: 77%, Oppose: 15% Independent / Third party — Support: 57%, Oppose: 30% Republican — Support: 33%, Oppose: 56% January 30–February 2, 2026 survey of 1,307 U.S. likely voters.

A majority of voters (56%) also support blocking ICE enforcement actions at polling locations or other election-related sites.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Believe Trump Will Attempt to Use ICE to Interfere in 2026 Midterms. Description: Do you think President Trump will or will not attempt to deploy immigration enforcement agents to prevent participation in the 2026 midterms? All likely voters — Trump will attempt to do this: 64%, Don't know: 15%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 21% Democrat — Trump will attempt to do this: 81%, Don't know: 10%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 9% Independent / Third party — Trump will attempt to do this: 66%, Don't know: 15%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 20% Republican — Trump will attempt to do this: 45%, Don't know: 19%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 36% January 30–February 2, 2026 survey of 1,307 U.S. likely voters.

NEW: A majority of voters (64%) think that Trump will attempt to deploy immigration enforcement agents to interfere in the 2026 midterms.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...

ICE Unpopularity Soars, Voters Support Impeaching Kristi Noem A majority of voters (54%) say that Congress should not fund DHS “unless it adds new regulations and oversight to ICE operations.”

Read the full poll here: www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Congress Should Not Fund the Department of Homeland Security Without Changes to ICE. Description: Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is entirely correct? Response Options: A) Congress should not fund the Department of Homeland Security unless it adds new regulations and oversight to ICE operations. B) Don't know C) Congress should fund the Department of Homeland Security even if it doesn't add new regulations and oversight to ICE operations. All likely voters — 54% chose A, 7% chose B, 40% chose C Democrat — 79% chose A, 7% chose B, 15% chose C Independent / Third party — 60% chose A, 7% chose B, 33% chose C Republican — 24% chose A, 6% chose B, 70% chose C January 30–February 2, 2026 survey of 1,307 U.S. likely voters.

A majority of voters (54%) say that Congress should not fund the Department of Homeland Security “unless it adds new regulations and oversight to ICE operations.”

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Impeaching Kristi Noem. Description: Some lawmakers in Congress have called for Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem to be impeached for her handling of two recent cases where an immigration enforcement officer fatally shot someone in Minneapolis. Do you think Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem should be impeached? All likely voters — Yes, she should be impeached: 52%, Don't know: 12%, No, she should not be impeached: 36% Democrat — Yes, she should be impeached: 80%, Don't know: 12%, No, she should not be impeached: 8% Independent / Third party — Yes, she should be impeached: 54%, Don't know: 13%, No, she should not be impeached: 33% Republican — Yes, she should be impeached: 21%, Don't know: 11%, No, she should not be impeached: 68% January 30–February 2, 2026 survey of 1,307 U.S. likely voters.

A majority of voters (52%), including 54% of Independents, support impeaching Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem.

Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: ICE Favorability Has Plummeted After Two Shootings in Minneapolis. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following people or institutions? — U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Favorable — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Apr 28, 2025 (51%) and the lowest response recorded on Feb 02, 2026 (39%). Unfavorable — Increased, with the highest response reported on Feb 02, 2026 (58%) and the lowest response recorded on Jan 24, 2025 (36%). 12 surveys of 14,630 U.S. likely voters, conducted January 24, 2025–February 2, 2026.

NEW: Voter favorability of ICE has plummeted after the fatal shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti.

Only 39% of voters have a favorable view of ICE, while 58% are unfavorable.

Voters Do Not Want the U.S. to Acquire Greenland A strong majority of voters believe that Trump is more focused on acquiring Greenland (66%) than lowering the cost of living (29%).

Read the full poll here: www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/1/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Trump Is More Focused on Acquiring Greenland Than Lowering Costs. Description: Which do you think Trump is more focused on? All likely voters — Acquiring Greenland for the United States: 66%, Don't know: 5%, Lowering the cost of living: 29% Democrat — Acquiring Greenland for the United States: 86%, Don't know: 2%, Lowering the cost of living: 12% Independent / Third party — Acquiring Greenland for the United States: 63%, Don't know: 9%, Lowering the cost of living: 28% Republican — Acquiring Greenland for the United States: 47%, Don't know: 6%, Lowering the cost of living: 47% January 23–26, 2026 survey of 1,226 U.S. likely voters.

A strong majority of voters believe that Trump is more focused on acquiring Greenland (66%) than lowering the cost of living (29%), their top priority.