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Adam Isacson

@adamisacson.com

He/Him. I work on security, borders, and migration at the Washington Office on Latin America (my views, not necessarily theirs). I'm also at wola.org, adamisacson.com, borderoversight.org, Mastodon elefanti.co/@adam

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Latest posts by Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com

Iโ€™m sorry, Mike, thanks for sharing.

07.03.2026 01:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
โ€œIt's So Seamlessly Blended into the Regular Economy That It's Hard to Pull Outโ€: Environmental Organized Crime in Venezuela, and Throughout the Americas - WOLA Criminal networks carrying out environmental organized crime are deeply intertwined with state actors and the legal economy.

"Business as usualโ€”which means state-sponsored extraction with organized crime."

Listen to our latest podcast with Mark Ungar about the organized crime-tied corruption poisoning the Amazon in Venezuela and beyond. The January 3 US attack changed nothing.

06.03.2026 21:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
U.S.-Mexico Border Update: Turmoil at DHS, Big Bend border wall, ICE detention deaths and expansion - WOLA Kristi Noem leaves a DHS in turmoil. Border walls may be coming to Big Bend National Park. 10 people have died this year in ICE's rapidly expanding detention system. ICE training cut from 72 to 42 day...

In the latest Border Update from @wola-org.bsky.social:

Kristi Noem leaves DHS in turmoil. Border walls may be coming to Big Bend National Park. 10 people have died this year in ICE's rapidly expanding detention system. ICE training cut from 72 to 42 days. New reports from Mexico.

Read on:

06.03.2026 20:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
-92,000 jobs in February... chart shows sluggish and negative job gains after early 2025

-92,000 jobs in February... chart shows sluggish and negative job gains after early 2025

Tells a story, doesn't it.

06.03.2026 18:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Ambassador Suite
King bed, One sofabed, plus one rollaway or one crib
1,000 โ€“ 1,200 (sq.ft.) 93 โ€“ 111 (m2)
2 adults and 2 children
View Floor Plan & Details
Room Rate

Rate Details
Fully or partially non-refundable

Avg. price per night
USD 5,700
Add to Cart
Bed and Breakfast

Rate Details
Fully or partially non-refundable

Avg. price per night
USD 5,750
Add to Cart

Ambassador Suite King bed, One sofabed, plus one rollaway or one crib 1,000 โ€“ 1,200 (sq.ft.) 93 โ€“ 111 (m2) 2 adults and 2 children View Floor Plan & Details Room Rate Rate Details Fully or partially non-refundable Avg. price per night USD 5,700 Add to Cart Bed and Breakfast Rate Details Fully or partially non-refundable Avg. price per night USD 5,750 Add to Cart

At $5,357 per day, that's almost exactly what it would cost to book the Ambassador Suite tonight at the Four Seasons in Washington DC's Georgetown neighborhood.

06.03.2026 15:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Table 1. DoD Funding for OSG, as of September 30, 2025

| Component | Obligations | Disbursements | |-----------|--------------|---------------| | Army | $29,365,000 | 7,944,000 | | Navy | $8,810,000 | $6,303 ,000 | | Air Force | 22,466,000 | $20,997,000 | | Other DoD | $5,000 | $5,000 | | OSG TOTAL | $60,646,000 | $35,249,000 |

Source: OUSD(C), response to DoD OIG request for information, 26.1 OSG 028, 1/20/2026.

Table 2. DHS Funding for Operations at NSGB, as of December 12, 2025

| Utilities | $127,929.57 | |-------------------------------------------------|-----------------| | Base Operating Services | $57,308.87 | | Performance Assessment Representative Fee | $5,678.14 | | ICE Gitmo Management Operations Center Contract | $17,658,947.12 | | TOTAL | $17,849,863.70 |

Note: Cost estimates are based on the full contract.

Source: DHS, response to DoD OIG request for information, 26.1 OSG 010, 1/12/2026.

Table 1. DoD Funding for OSG, as of September 30, 2025 | Component | Obligations | Disbursements | |-----------|--------------|---------------| | Army | $29,365,000 | 7,944,000 | | Navy | $8,810,000 | $6,303 ,000 | | Air Force | 22,466,000 | $20,997,000 | | Other DoD | $5,000 | $5,000 | | OSG TOTAL | $60,646,000 | $35,249,000 | Source: OUSD(C), response to DoD OIG request for information, 26.1 OSG 028, 1/20/2026. Table 2. DHS Funding for Operations at NSGB, as of December 12, 2025 | Utilities | $127,929.57 | |-------------------------------------------------|-----------------| | Base Operating Services | $57,308.87 | | Performance Assessment Representative Fee | $5,678.14 | | ICE Gitmo Management Operations Center Contract | $17,658,947.12 | | TOTAL | $17,849,863.70 | Note: Cost estimates are based on the full contract. Source: DHS, response to DoD OIG request for information, 26.1 OSG 010, 1/12/2026.

It cost a combined $53,098,863.70 to detain 708 migrants at Guantรกnamo in 2025.

That's $74,998.40 per personโ€”for an average stay of 14 days.

Source: Defense Department IG report at www.dodig.mil/reports.html...

06.03.2026 14:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 21 ๐Ÿ” 15 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Will Markwayne Mullin have to wear all the costumes too? Not looking forward to that, but hope we can call him โ€œICE Ken.โ€

05.03.2026 22:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
โ€œIt's So Seamlessly Blended into the Regular Economy That It's Hard to Pull Outโ€: Environmental Organized Crime in Venezuela, and Throughout the Americas - WOLA Criminal networks carrying out environmental organized crime are deeply intertwined with state actors and the legal economy.

Venezuelaโ€™s Orinoco Mining Arcโ€”like much of the Amazonโ€”is being destroyed by a violent nexus of criminals and corrupt officials. The Maduro raid didn't change a thing. Environmental crime now blends so deeply into the economy that itโ€™s nearly untouchable, says Mark Ungar in the latest WOLA Podcast:

05.03.2026 18:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 11 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Saddens me to see our long 85-year peace come to an end.

05.03.2026 17:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Tracking War Powers Resolution Votes in Congress - Adam Isacson A table breaking down recent votes on resolutions seeking to prevent the Trump administration from deploying U.S. troops into hostilities in Latin America without congressional authorization.

The October-January Western Hemisphere war powers votes are here:

05.03.2026 14:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
U.S. Senate: U.S. Senate Roll Call Votes 119th Congress - 2nd Session

Just 2 senators didn't vote with their party on yesterday's Iran war powers resolution:

- Rand Paul (R-KY) voted with the Democrats, as he has on past Venezuela and "boat strikes" resolutions
- John Fetterman (D-PA) voted with the Republicans, as he did on a "boat strikes" resolution

05.03.2026 14:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"The $1.2 billion contract, awarded to Acquisition Logistics LLC in July of last year, had an estimated date of completion of Sept. 30, 2027โ€ฆ Acquisition Logistics did not immediately respond to a request for comment."

05.03.2026 01:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
We have a problem here
Internal Investigation
Confirms Border Patrol
Failures Leading Up to a 16-Year-Old's Death on the Floor of His Cell
A Border Patrol agent logged welfare checks that didn't happen. Only one medical professional was caring for 200 sick migrants. The government has said whether anyone is being punished.
Mexican woman shot in head by
US Border Patrol files claim
By ANITA SNOW
politics
Leaked audio and video show Border Patrol agents confronting Homeland Security secretary at meetings
By Geneva Sands, CNN
Usdated 6:03 AM ET, Tue February 1. 2022
Click to copy
CC3 World News
Did Trump's Border Patrol
Chief Make a Rape Threat?
A Judge Says Yes.
"Maybe you were the one person in the world that's never heard of lie back and take it' as referring to rape." the judge said.
The New Work Gimes
A Rise in Deadly Border Patrol Chases
Renews Concerns About
Accountability
The increasing number of deaths adds urgency to questions about when and how agents should engage in high-speed chases as they pursue smugglers and migrants.
Operation Whistle Pig:
Inside the secret CBP
unit with no rules that investigates Americans
Jana Winter โ€ข Investigative Correspondent
December 11, 2021 โ€ข 36 min read
These headlines are from stories published between
December 2021 and February 2022.

We have a problem here Internal Investigation Confirms Border Patrol Failures Leading Up to a 16-Year-Old's Death on the Floor of His Cell A Border Patrol agent logged welfare checks that didn't happen. Only one medical professional was caring for 200 sick migrants. The government has said whether anyone is being punished. Mexican woman shot in head by US Border Patrol files claim By ANITA SNOW politics Leaked audio and video show Border Patrol agents confronting Homeland Security secretary at meetings By Geneva Sands, CNN Usdated 6:03 AM ET, Tue February 1. 2022 Click to copy CC3 World News Did Trump's Border Patrol Chief Make a Rape Threat? A Judge Says Yes. "Maybe you were the one person in the world that's never heard of lie back and take it' as referring to rape." the judge said. The New Work Gimes A Rise in Deadly Border Patrol Chases Renews Concerns About Accountability The increasing number of deaths adds urgency to questions about when and how agents should engage in high-speed chases as they pursue smugglers and migrants. Operation Whistle Pig: Inside the secret CBP unit with no rules that investigates Americans Jana Winter โ€ข Investigative Correspondent December 11, 2021 โ€ข 36 min read These headlines are from stories published between December 2021 and February 2022.

I'm putting together a presentation, and came across this old slide with headlines about Border Patrol human rights allegations from late 2021 and early 2022.

This sort of thing used to be confined to the border zone, but now it's national.

04.03.2026 21:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Here is a table breaking down the votes.

Date	Chamber	Topic	Vote	Voted With Other Party Majority
2025-10-08	Senate	Boat Strikes	48-51	Murkowski (R), Paul (R), Fetterman (D)
2025-11-06	Senate	Venezuela	49-51	Murkowski (R), Paul (R)
2025-12-17	House	Boat Strikes	210-216	Bacon (R), Massie (R), Cuellar (D), Gonzalez (D)
2025-12-17	House	Venezuela	211-213	Bacon (R), Greene (R), Massie (R), Cuellar (D)
2026-01-08	Senate	Venezuela	52-47	Collins (R), Hawley (R), Murkowski (R), Paul (R), Young (R)
2026-01-14	Senate	Venezuela	50-51	Collins (R), Murkowski (R), Paul (R)
2026-01-22	House	Venezuela	215-215	Bacon (R), Massie (R)

Here is a table breaking down the votes. Date Chamber Topic Vote Voted With Other Party Majority 2025-10-08 Senate Boat Strikes 48-51 Murkowski (R), Paul (R), Fetterman (D) 2025-11-06 Senate Venezuela 49-51 Murkowski (R), Paul (R) 2025-12-17 House Boat Strikes 210-216 Bacon (R), Massie (R), Cuellar (D), Gonzalez (D) 2025-12-17 House Venezuela 211-213 Bacon (R), Greene (R), Massie (R), Cuellar (D) 2026-01-08 Senate Venezuela 52-47 Collins (R), Hawley (R), Murkowski (R), Paul (R), Young (R) 2026-01-14 Senate Venezuela 50-51 Collins (R), Murkowski (R), Paul (R) 2026-01-22 House Venezuela 215-215 Bacon (R), Massie (R)

If just 1 or 2 Republican senators had voted to assert congressional war powers on "lethal boat strikes" and Venezuela, this White House wouldn't have taken it as a green light to start a new war today on the president's whim.

28.02.2026 13:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 134 ๐Ÿ” 41 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

At a time when so many big institutions and corporations have been caving to authoritarian bullying, I thank @anthropic.com for not doing that.

Those of us who remember the Cold War recall that it was the _other side_ that would order firms to produce things at their command.

27.02.2026 14:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
"Our heads are exploding over the news that DoD reportedly shot down a Customs and Border Protection drone using a high-risk counter-unmanned aircraft system. We said MONTHS ago that the White House's decision to sidestep a bipartisan, tri-committee bill to appropriately train C-UAS operators and address the lack of coordination between the Pentagon, DHS and the FAA was a short-sighted idea. Now, we're seeing the result of its incompetence."

"Our heads are exploding over the news that DoD reportedly shot down a Customs and Border Protection drone using a high-risk counter-unmanned aircraft system. We said MONTHS ago that the White House's decision to sidestep a bipartisan, tri-committee bill to appropriately train C-UAS operators and address the lack of coordination between the Pentagon, DHS and the FAA was a short-sighted idea. Now, we're seeing the result of its incompetence."

Looks like DOD mistook a CBP drone for a party balloon.

The anti-drone lasers seem to work pretty well. The people? Not so much.

democrats-homeland.house.gov/news/press-r...

27.02.2026 12:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 15 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Petro is 49.1% positive, 46.1% negative.

Petro is 49.1% positive, 46.1% negative.

Invamer poll of Colombia (long time series, reasonably well-regarded) has Gustavo Petro with positive approval for first time since the very beginning of his term.

www.valoraanalitik.com/wp-content/u...

26.02.2026 18:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
ICEโ€™s Warehouse Purchases Herald New Model for Immigration Detention - American Immigration Council ICE is purchasing commercial warehouses and retrofitting them into a national network of immigration detention centers.

โ€œ2026 was always shaping up to be a transformational year for immigration detention, but few people anticipated this level of changeโ€ฆ The system of detention which has existed for generations may be fundamentally transformed into something even more sinister and more prone to abuses than ever.โ€

25.02.2026 18:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Lloyd Bridges sniffing glue in *Airplane*

Lloyd Bridges sniffing glue in *Airplane*

One hour in, letโ€™s see how the professional fact-checkers are doing.

25.02.2026 03:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 42 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
February 5, 2026	2	โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€	View
February 9, 2026	2, plus 1 survivor; โ€œA search-and-rescue effort for the person was not successful.โ€	โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€	View
February 13, 2026	3	โ€œin the Caribbeanโ€	View
February 16, 2026	4	โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€	View
February 16, 2026	4	โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€	View
February 16, 2026	3	โ€œin the Caribbeanโ€	View
February 20, 2026	3	โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€	View
February 23, 2026	3	โ€œin the Caribbeanโ€	View

February 5, 2026 2 โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€ View February 9, 2026 2, plus 1 survivor; โ€œA search-and-rescue effort for the person was not successful.โ€ โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€ View February 13, 2026 3 โ€œin the Caribbeanโ€ View February 16, 2026 4 โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€ View February 16, 2026 4 โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€ View February 16, 2026 3 โ€œin the Caribbeanโ€ View February 20, 2026 3 โ€œin the Eastern Pacificโ€ View February 23, 2026 3 โ€œin the Caribbeanโ€ View

This is just February. 25 dead in 19 days. Do not get numb to this.

23.02.2026 20:08 ๐Ÿ‘ 42 ๐Ÿ” 30 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
You โ€“ by the way, we havenโ€™t had a strike in the Caribbean Basin in almost five weeks.  Do you know why?  Itโ€™s not because we stopped looking.  Itโ€™s because no one wants to get on a boat anymore and do that.  So itโ€™s been effective at cutting that down.  Now, thereโ€™s been strikes in the Pacific.

You โ€“ by the way, we havenโ€™t had a strike in the Caribbean Basin in almost five weeks. Do you know why? Itโ€™s not because we stopped looking. Itโ€™s because no one wants to get on a boat anymore and do that. So itโ€™s been effective at cutting that down. Now, thereโ€™s been strikes in the Pacific.

Southcom just announced its 3rd lethal boat strike in the Caribbean in an 11-day period.

Here's something Marco Rubio said about the Caribbean back in December. (www.state.gov/releases/off...)

This "boat strike" policy, while revoltingly criminal, isn't even having its vaunted deterrent effect.

23.02.2026 19:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 48 ๐Ÿ” 23 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Donโ€™t Let Boat Strikes Fade Into the Background
Donโ€™t Let Boat Strikes Fade Into the Background YouTube video by WOLA: Washington Office on Latin America

"The Illegality is Not a Bug, It's a Feature."

Here's the video version (con tรญtulos en espaรฑol) of last week's podcast episode on illegal lethal boat strikes, featuring WOLA's drug policy program director, John Walsh.

23.02.2026 17:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Mike Lee
@BasedMikeLee
Cartel hitmen wear masks
Leftists aren't complaining

Mike Lee @BasedMikeLee Cartel hitmen wear masks Leftists aren't complaining

Have you ever written out a post, but then your โ€œJudgment and Common Sense filterโ€ kicks in, and you delete it and get on with your day?

It turns out that if you can somehow manage to disable that filterโ€”I mean, totally annihilate itโ€”you could end up as the next senior senator from Utah.

23.02.2026 03:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 265 ๐Ÿ” 30 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Latin America-Related Events in Washington and Online This Week - Adam Isacson 6 events about Latin America this week, that I know about, that can be attended in person in Washington or online anywhere.

Latin America-Related Events in Washington and Online This Week

6 events about Latin America this week, that I know about, that can be attended in person in Washington or online anywhere:

23.02.2026 02:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Among the counter-organized crime policy options the US promotes in Latin America, "taking out top bad guys" gets big resources. Breaking corrupt links to government, governing with accountability, and pursuing alternatives to prohibition (which inflates drug profits) do not.

So expect violence.

22.02.2026 19:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 16 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We can expect a short-term (or maybe more than short-term) spike in violence after today's killing of organized crime boss Nemesio Oseguera in Mexico. The country's most powerful cartel could fragment. Competitors may see an opportunity.

22.02.2026 19:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 20 ๐Ÿ” 9 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

True, but we need to think of this as "organized crime" and not just "drug trafficking." Drugs are one income stream among many (precious-metals mining, migrant smuggling, human trafficking, extortion, etc.)โ€”so the link between organized crime and states/financial systems needs way more attention.

22.02.2026 19:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is big. Nemesio Oseguera was the most powerful remaining organized crime leader in Mexico.

He was also sort of "old school," though. As @insightcrime.org pointed out a few years ago, today's most influential criminal bosses aren't hiding in the mountains; they're embedded in polite society.

22.02.2026 18:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 72 ๐Ÿ” 25 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Donald J. Trump * O @realDonald Trump
Working with the fantastic Governor of Louisiana, Jeff Landry, we are going to send a great hospital boat to Greenland to take care of the many people who are sick, and not being taken care of there. It's on the way!!! President DJT

Donald J. Trump * O @realDonald Trump Working with the fantastic Governor of Louisiana, Jeff Landry, we are going to send a great hospital boat to Greenland to take care of the many people who are sick, and not being taken care of there. It's on the way!!! President DJT

Having solved his own citizens' affordable healthcare challenges, the governor will send a hospital ship from the State Navy to a foreign land that already has universal healthcare.

"Louisiana: it's more than just ICE detention centers."

22.02.2026 16:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 20 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

My wife asked for a cheeseburger, so I made one. She said, "No, this is a tuna sandwich." I said, "You're absolutely right! My mistake. Let me look up 'cheeseburger.'" I tried again, and she said, "No, this is a tuna melt."

22.02.2026 01:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0