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Tom Forth

@tomforth.co.uk

Same as @thomasforth on X. Gone back to Twitter for now. Quality filter, locations in bios, and polls pls. Leeds, Yorkshire, UK.

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Latest posts by Tom Forth @tomforth.co.uk

Should you wish to know how the AI at @thedatacity.bsky.social works, but not so well you can copy us, please do come to Applied AI at Parallax in Leeds on 17 March at 6pm where I'll be giving a talk on exactly that! www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/applied-ai...

06.03.2026 21:55 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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GVA/capita within Great Britain, by distance from London (moving 30 miles window). With major (and some non-major) cities shown. I stop at 500 miles because beyond Aberdeen the populations are so low that the data becomes very noisy (sorry Shetland). Northern Ireland had data issues. Sorry.

06.03.2026 20:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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And this GIF should show in a bit more detail what I'm doing and how.

06.03.2026 20:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Using the ONS small area GVA estimates and my population around a point tool I calculated GVA/capita for every 30 mile wide ring at increasing distance from London. The picture shows where I calculated GVA and population for to get the answer at 100 miles.

06.03.2026 20:21 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you Sir.

05.03.2026 23:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
OpenSAFELY news: you can apply to do non-COVID research, from today! | Bennett Institute for Applied Data Science We are delighted to announce that - from today - you can submit applications to the OpenSAFELY service for non-COVID-19 studies.

OpenSAFELY is open from today! Huge thanks to all who supported this vast collaboration: whole population GP data; in a productive platform; innovative privacy protections; unprecedented support from professions, privacy campaigners; &c

Now it's over to users!

www.bennett.ox.ac.uk/blog/2026/02...

23.02.2026 16:17 πŸ‘ 179 πŸ” 85 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 16

Or is it just a vase on the floor?

22.02.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Is the wine in a caraffe in the Oasis one? Never spotted that before.

22.02.2026 14:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ha. Great spot.

22.02.2026 14:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
A living room in a Victorian house, which happens to contain two Green Party members.

A living room in a Victorian house, which happens to contain two Green Party members.

A living room in a Victoria house, which happens to contain four musicians.

A living room in a Victoria house, which happens to contain four musicians.

So apparently one of these is 'salt of the earth, tells it like it is, speaks to the masses' and the other is not.

22.02.2026 13:49 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
British Growth and the Graduate Premium Britain's economic problems will not be solved by more graduates.

British Growth and the Graduate Premium. tomforth.co.uk/graduateprem...

20.02.2026 20:02 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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An important correction to the record. I have returned to the original @annastansbury.bsky.social paper and indeed Northern Ireland IS in there. Also has the extra breakdown of degree types which some have asked after.

20.02.2026 22:26 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I could have a good guess, but actually it doesn't matter. I sort of agree with you I think. 90% is near enough double. And that's a lot when you're near split half and half.

20.02.2026 21:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Got you, thanks. Yes, I'd missed that. You'll see on the other FT graph the premium is lower, and closer to what I expected. But I don't know why the difference is what it is.

20.02.2026 21:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Where are you getting 90% premium from? I must be missing it in my readings of the graphs and the data.

20.02.2026 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Minimum wages across the three are very similar. (Don't be confused by the low federal rate in the USA, there are higher state and city levels in many/most places). I happen to think the UK minimum wage is now too high. But it's a small problem compared to the failure to create jobs at higher wages.

20.02.2026 20:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The USA and the Netherlands have much much stronger economies than the UK. They are creating exactly the type of jobs at the salaries we're not which explains a large part of the gap.

20.02.2026 20:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I feel like my piece explains that.

20.02.2026 20:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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So many line graphs.

20.02.2026 20:05 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
British Growth and the Graduate Premium Britain's economic problems will not be solved by more graduates.

British Growth and the Graduate Premium. tomforth.co.uk/graduateprem...

20.02.2026 20:02 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Most impressive.

20.02.2026 12:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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And then there were seven πŸ‘€

When I first spoke to @joshih.bsky.social in 2020, he'd just launched The Mill and was thinking of setting something up in Liverpool.

Less than six years later, today we're launching our seventh title in Leeds (@leedsnewlocalpaper.bsky.social).

Sign up πŸ‘‰ leeds.ghost.io

16.02.2026 15:08 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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At long last, we’re launching in Leeds! Ever since I started The Mill, people have asked us to create a publication across the Pennines.

If 500 people pledge to become members, we’re going to hire two journalists and do it. Please share with Leeds friends.

leeds.ghost.io

16.02.2026 09:08 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 56 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 5

* for this purpose I've used the Leeds local authority of 800,000 population which flatters building here. The whole city region measure will be substantially lower. But then,... homes are very substantially cheaper.

13.02.2026 15:34 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Fantastic piece in the @FT on London's poor record of building the homes it desperately needs. I added in another major global city* in the UK which seemed to have slipped out of the data during production πŸ˜‰ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

13.02.2026 15:33 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Is it "serious wacko stuff"? Have I "gone down that road"? Is it "telling in and of itself"? Obviously it's up to you. I hope you'll bring forward your sceptical evaluation on that matter to whether I believe "China built a railway station in a day".

07.02.2026 00:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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I think I'm reasonable in saying this is well-studied in Britain. This is the write up by @whippletom.bsky.social in The Times for example. A very fair write up, which he wouldn't have done without broad work behind the theory (which I dislike and am sceptical of).

07.02.2026 00:25 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The big sort: The decline of northern England, 1780–2018 Northern England is now less educated and less productive than the south. This north-south divide is often characterised by policymakers as evidence of market failure. This column uses surname distrib...

Here's the LSE paper (there are others if you search through the citation graph but this is a good place to start)
cepr.org/voxeu/column...

07.02.2026 00:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Are Northerners poor because we’re thick? North England has lower IQ than South England

Here's the piece I wrote on this. tomforth.co.uk/onintelligen...

07.02.2026 00:19 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks Simon. And yes, much easier, cheaper, and quicker to do than a tram. Even less likely sadly.

31.01.2026 18:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0