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Periklis Daflos

@perikl.is

perikl.is

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27.11.2023
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Latest posts by Periklis Daflos @perikl.is

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde on the Quandary of Global Demographic Decline | Macro Musings
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde on the Quandary of Global Demographic Decline | Macro Musings YouTube video by Macro Musings with David Beckworth

Delighted to have Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde back on the pod this week. We cover demographic decline, the robustness of dollar dominance, AI, and whether his vast expertise defies comparative advantage! www.youtube.com/watch?v=eRvI...

09.03.2026 16:00 👍 7 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
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Why Europe doesn’t have a Tesla  - Works in Progress Magazine Europe's cutting edge firms are falling far behind the American frontier because of restrictive labor laws.

A level-headed analysis on the labor regulations in Europe that are hampering innovation, with examples (in Europe!) of how to improve in this space.
worksinprogress.co/issue/why-eu...

22.02.2026 09:31 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Zeit für ein historisches Comeback: Lässt sich die Krise der deutschen Industrie wieder umkehren?

Das erörtern @therealmaxpower.bsky.social und @philippasigl.bsky.social im neuen #Geldbrief anhand relevanter Beispiele aus der Geschichte.

Jetzt lesen ⬇️

15.01.2026 16:16 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Claude Code and What Comes Next With the right tools, AI can accomplish impressive things

I wrote about Claude Code and why non-coders should be paying attention (and playing with the system) - it shows what today’s LLMs can do

Along the way I had Claude launch a business for me & build a game that simulates the rise and fall of civilizations. open.substack.com/pub/oneusefu...

07.01.2026 23:25 👍 75 🔁 14 💬 1 📌 2

Also, if you want to replace RA classification work via an LLM API, going with an Open-Source LLM (nowadays quite capable) and a low model temperature might improve replicability. In this case you should also try different model parameters for robustness, especially now that the APIs are so cheap.

07.01.2026 08:21 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I think it’s worth emphasizing how good Claude Code is in VSCode nowadays. Both for quick prototyping (e.g., building zero-shot streamlit GUIs for classification tasks) but also for important code/ debugging. For the latter, it’s important to iterate slowly in order to be able to verify the code.

07.01.2026 08:16 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Why Macro Never Had a Credibility Revolution And Where Macro and Micro Are Converging Now

A very thoughtful piece on the current state of the credibility revolution in Macro. carloschavezp29.substack.com/p/why-macro-...

02.01.2026 13:28 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Are we stuck with the same Desktop UX forever? | Ubuntu Summit 25.10
Are we stuck with the same Desktop UX forever? | Ubuntu Summit 25.10 YouTube video by Canonical Ubuntu

Are we stuck with the same Desktop UX forever?
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fZT...

14.12.2025 11:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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How Google Maps quietly allocates survival across London’s restaurants - and how I built a dashboard to see through it I wanted a dinner recommendation and got a research agenda instead. Using 13000+ restaurants, I rebuild its ratings with machine learning and map how algorithmic visibility actually distributes power.

I wanted dinner recommendations so I scraped 13,000+ London restaurants and accidentally discovered Google Maps is running a shadow economy. Anyway here's a dashboard and a political economy thesis: open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

09.12.2025 07:52 👍 850 🔁 351 💬 41 📌 93
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Greece is teaching Germany how to get government online A legendary bureaucracy is making Olympian efforts at digitalisation

Do you know which places in Europe are digitalising fast?

#Berlin and Greece. No, seriously. www.economist.com/europe/2025/...

04.12.2025 17:00 👍 22 🔁 6 💬 2 📌 0
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Germany’s problems are worse than you think [FREE TO READ] It’s not as simple as blaming the unravelling of the global trading system

What's the matter with Germany? Because it's not what you think it is.
on.ft.com/4raAAk3

20.11.2025 12:31 👍 15 🔁 7 💬 5 📌 4
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Lkw-Transporte in Europa: Die Schattenseite des Warenverkehrs 800.000 Lkw-Fahrten gibt es täglich in Deutschland. Viele Fahrer aus Osteuropa arbeiten für wenig Lohn unter harten Bedingungen.

Immer mehr Waren rollen über Europas Straßen. In Deutschland gibt es täglich rund 800.000 Lkw-Fahrten. Viele Aufträge landen bei osteuropäischen Subunternehmen. Niedrige Löhne und harte Bedingungen prägen den Alltag der Fahrer.DLF-Sendung. Audio: www.deutschlandfunk.de/lkw-fahrer-i...

20.11.2025 10:46 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

A data source dries up

18.11.2025 05:57 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 3 📌 0
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GitHub - hadley/genzplyr: dplyr but make it bussin fr fr no cap dplyr but make it bussin fr fr no cap. Contribute to hadley/genzplyr development by creating an account on GitHub.

Do you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp....

genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.

06.11.2025 23:25 👍 460 🔁 167 💬 42 📌 55
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A widely held view is that the Gini coefficient is not decomposable by subgroups. This paper proposes an axiomatic framework that ensures well-behaved within and between-group terms under which the Gini is decomposable with a novel and unique formula. buff.ly/XdnzG6F

24.10.2025 13:05 👍 32 🔁 14 💬 0 📌 2
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An Opinionated Guide to Using AI Right Now What AI to use in late 2025

I wrote an updated guide on which AIs to use right now, & some tips on how to use them (and how to avoid falling into some common traps)

A lot has changed since I last wrote a guide like this in the spring, and AI has gotten much more useful as a result. open.substack.com/pub/oneusefu...

19.10.2025 18:48 👍 154 🔁 28 💬 6 📌 3
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OpenAI’s computing deals top $1tn Partners including Nvidia, AMD and Oracle have signed up to Sam Altman’s huge bet on the future of artificial intelligence

The incredible numbers - an actual trillion of investment, via an unquoted start up - and circularities (Nvidia investing in OpenAI and Intel, OpenAi in AMD, billion dollar purchases paid with stock, the cash, where's the cash etc? - are just mind boggling

on.ft.com/4mNOdCh

07.10.2025 05:40 👍 23 🔁 9 💬 3 📌 3

Bonn is (close to) free regarding tuition if that helps

29.09.2025 21:56 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

For once it‘s worth looking at the comment section here

21.09.2025 08:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Junge Inder in Deutschland: Das Geschäft mit den Studis Ritik Yadav und Shivam Kumar kamen zum Studium an einer Privat-Uni nach Deutschland. Jetzt arbeiten sie beim Lieferdienst und in der Gastro.

Sehr lesenswerter Artikel zur katastrophalen Lage von Studierenden aus Südasien an privaten deutschen Hochschulen taz.de/Junge-Inder-...

16.09.2025 10:15 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
This graph shows labor productivity in Germany since 1970. The manufactoring sector is on top, the whole economy, services & construction is below. The index is set to 1991 = 100.

This graph shows labor productivity in Germany since 1970. The manufactoring sector is on top, the whole economy, services & construction is below. The index is set to 1991 = 100.

Crazy that this is in such a stark contrast to manufactoring labor productivity in Germany (not quite the same statistic though: different timeline & output per worker, from here: www.wirtschaftsdienst.eu/inhalt/jahr/... )

09.08.2025 06:30 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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What’ll happen if we spend nearly $3tn on data centres no one needs? Nineties adults remember

Related reporting: www.ft.com/content/7052...

31.07.2025 09:44 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

You can order these online through various online shops, here's an overview PDF with some shops on the third page: assets.adac.de/image/upload...

22.07.2025 07:23 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Screenshot from Positron showing code that connects to a database, and then highlights the connection in a Connections Pane and shows the data in a Data Explorer tab

Here's the code:

library(dplyr)

# Connect with {connections}, which automatically adds this to the panel
con <- connections::connection_open(duckdb::duckdb(), ":memory:")

# Or do it manually with {DBI}
# con <- DBI::dbConnect(duckdb::duckdb(), ":memory:")
# connections::connection_view(con)

# Add some stuff to the database
copy_to(con, penguins, name = "penguins", overwrite = TRUE)
copy_to(con, gapminder::gapminder, name = "gapminder", overwrite = TRUE)

# Get stuff out of the database
adelie_query <- tbl(con, I("penguins")) |> 
  filter(species == "Adelie")

# Check it out! It's SQL!
show_query(adelie_query)

# Actually run the query
penguins_from_db <- adelie_query |> 
  collect()
penguins_from_db

connections::connection_close(con)
# Or this: 
# DBI::dbDisconnect(con)

Screenshot from Positron showing code that connects to a database, and then highlights the connection in a Connections Pane and shows the data in a Data Explorer tab Here's the code: library(dplyr) # Connect with {connections}, which automatically adds this to the panel con <- connections::connection_open(duckdb::duckdb(), ":memory:") # Or do it manually with {DBI} # con <- DBI::dbConnect(duckdb::duckdb(), ":memory:") # connections::connection_view(con) # Add some stuff to the database copy_to(con, penguins, name = "penguins", overwrite = TRUE) copy_to(con, gapminder::gapminder, name = "gapminder", overwrite = TRUE) # Get stuff out of the database adelie_query <- tbl(con, I("penguins")) |> filter(species == "Adelie") # Check it out! It's SQL! show_query(adelie_query) # Actually run the query penguins_from_db <- adelie_query |> collect() penguins_from_db connections::connection_close(con) # Or this: # DBI::dbDisconnect(con)

Ooh, @posit.co's Positron is no longer in beta as of this week(!), and it recently added support for DuckDB databases in the Connections Pane positron.posit.co/connections-... - any db connection you add with {connections} shows up there—this is magical! #rstats

03.07.2025 14:04 👍 89 🔁 23 💬 4 📌 2
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Why is Scandinavia the Most Gender Equal Place in the World?

My two part series weaves economic history, sociology, and my own qualitative research

1) www.ggd.world/p/why-is-sca...

2) www.ggd.world/p/why-is-sca...

22.06.2025 23:51 👍 24 🔁 11 💬 2 📌 1

I wonder what the results of this paper would look like today, after many years of speed optimizations in many programming languages www.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/com...

20.06.2025 07:52 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Are Employers Playing a Game of Monopsony? Labor&rsquo;s share of national income&nbsp;has fallen, and competition for workers may have something to do with it.

Very nice article on rising market power and the fall of the labour share www.chicagobooth.edu/review/are-e...

27.05.2025 06:41 👍 11 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 2
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Olivier Blanchard argues that we should understand better the macroeconomics of the medium run, and I could not agree more. Since I have been working on this for a while, let me show you why this is a promising field for young researchers!

06.04.2025 16:57 👍 50 🔁 8 💬 2 📌 1

Not anymore :)

05.04.2025 09:31 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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The Case Against Streaming TV Shows New streaming TV shows ask for a 20-30 hour time commitment. Unlike network TV, you will often be binge-ing alone and may never even get a pay-off (or the pay-off will suck).

Amazing piece on how recent TV shows haven't been that great, actually: www.readtrung.com/p/the-case-a...

26.03.2025 20:30 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0