Another Californian

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

My *weekly* loss report by category, a #meatgrinder index update, and a graph of cruise missile attrition trend are linked below: bsky.app/profile/anth...

A 100-day trailing average number of Russian missiles intercepted by Ukraine per day. Russia tends to accumulate missiles for intense strikes. The average is meant to highlight any long-term trends (attrition vs. production). @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

A 100-day trailing average number of Russian missiles intercepted by Ukraine per day. Russia tends to accumulate missiles for intense strikes. The average is meant to highlight any long-term trends (attrition vs. production). @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

The #meatgrinder index is a measure of personnel losses vs. armor and artillery losses; losses at average rates would result in the index = 1. The index dropped to parity due to a sharp increase in artillery losses. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

The #meatgrinder index is a measure of personnel losses vs. armor and artillery losses; losses at average rates would result in the index = 1. The index dropped to parity due to a sharp increase in artillery losses. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

5-*week* trend of Russian losses. The numbers are the ratios of the week's losses vs. averages since 2022/02/24. Personnel losses are steady; artillery, anti-aircraft and vehicle losses are sharply up. UAV losses accelerated again. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social Week Ending 8-Feb 15-Feb 22-Feb 1-Mar 8-Mar Personnel 0.94 1.15 1.08 1.16 1.08 Tanks 0.46 0.37 0.39 0.27 0.59 APV 0.26 0.23 0.28 0.34 0.43 Artillery 1.49 1.38 0.98 1.39 1.87 MLRS 0.63 1.38 0.50 1.26 1.38 Anti-Aircraft 0.80 0.80 0.48 0.80 2.23 Planes 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Helos 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.60 UAV 12.00 11.24 10.64 12.79 16.71 Cruise Missiles 3.09 0.82 1.35 3.34 0.91 Warships 0.00 6.69 0.00 0.00 6.58 Vehicles + Fuel trucks 2.67 2.76 2.66 2.63 4.08 Specialty 0.71 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.41

🔥5-*week* trend of Russian losses. The numbers are the ratios of the week's losses vs. averages since 2022/02/24. Personnel losses are steady; artillery, anti-aircraft and vehicle losses are sharply up. UAV losses accelerated again. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

The number of UAVs shot down by Ukraine, 2558, is a new daily high. The previous record high, 1950, was reported just 3 days ago, on March 5.

Russia is helping Iran by trying to keep Ukraine from sharing its drone interceptors.

особового складу / personnel – близько 1 273 290 (+930) осіб / persons танків / tanks – 11 742 (+5) од. бойових броньованих машин / armored combat vehicles – 24 157 (+6) од. артилерійських систем / artillery systems – 38 059 (+55) од. РСЗВ / MLRS – 1 673 (+3) од. засоби ППО / air defense systems – 1 322 (+0) од. літаків / aircraft – 435 (+0) од. гелікоптерів / helicopters – 349 (+0) од. БПЛА оперативно–тактичного рівня / operational–tactical UAVs – 164 416 (+2 558) од. крилаті ракети / cruise missiles – 4 403 (+19) од. кораблі / катери / ships / boats – 30 (+0) од. підводні човни / submarines – 2 (+0) од. автомобільна техніка та автоцистерни / automotive and fuel tanks – 82 101 (+289) од. спеціальна техніка / special equipment – 4 083 (+3) од.

Today's raw loss numbers from UA General Staff:

5 days of Russian Federation Armed Forces losses (as reported by General Staff of the Armed Forces of #Ukraine) compared to the invasion average: Yellow is below average; Green is above average; the number is the ratio of the day’s losses over average. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social 4-Mar 5-Mar 6-Mar 7-Mar 8-Mar Personnel 1.13 1.04 1.10 1.17 1.08 Tanks 0.63 0.50 0.88 0.38 0.63 APV 0.24 0.43 0.37 0.18 0.37 Artillery 1.24 1.59 1.74 1.70 2.13 MLRS 1.76 0.00 1.76 0.88 2.64 Anti-Aircraft 0.00 0.00 1.11 2.23 0.00 Planes 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Helos 0.00 0.00 4.21 0.00 0.00 UAV 16.27 18.10 14.79 16.99 22.92 Cruise Missiles 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.36 Warships 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vehicles + Fuel trucks 4.20 3.79 3.75 3.06 5.19 Specialty 0.72 0.36 0.36 0.00 1.08

🔥🔥Mar 8, 2026: 5 days of Russian Federation Armed Forces losses (as reported by General Staff of the Armed Forces of #Ukraine) compared to the invasion average: Yellow is below average; Green is above average; the number is the ratio of the day’s losses over average. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

When Russia helps Iran to target the US, but stops when Witkoff calls them, it does not make Russia less of enemy of the US, and it does not make Witkoff less of a friend of Russia.

...Safe travels

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

bsky.app/profile/anth...

особового складу / personnel – близько 1 272 360 (+1 010) осіб / persons танків / tanks – 11 737 (+3) од. бойових броньованих машин / armored combat vehicles – 24 151 (+3) од. артилерійських систем / artillery systems – 38 004 (+44) од. РСЗВ / MLRS – 1 670 (+1) од. засоби ППО / air defense systems – 1 322 (+2) од. літаків / aircraft – 435 (+0) од. гелікоптерів / helicopters – 349 (+0) од. БПЛА оперативно–тактичного рівня / operational–tactical UAVs – 161 858 (+1 868) од. крилаті ракети / cruise missiles – 4 384 (+0) од. кораблі / катери / ships / boats – 30 (+0) од. підводні човни / submarines – 2 (+0) од. автомобільна техніка та автоцистерни / automotive and fuel tanks – 81 812 (+170) од. спеціальна техніка / special equipment – 4 080 (+0) од.

Today's raw loss numbers from UA General Staff: