Sam Guzik

Everyone else: The trend report has more than 1,000 pages of analysis. It has something for you! Take a look and see what you think.

Journalists: Take a look at the News+Information section and let me know what I missed! And be sure to look at the other chapters, especially the ones on AI and new realities -- those aren't as relevant today, but they describe trends that will absolutely impact our industry.

Trend Reports Which technologies have the most disruptive potential and momentum to shape the near future? We identified the trends that matter most. Click the “Get Access” button below to provide your details.

Thrilled to celebrate the launch of the 2025 Future Today Strategy Group Trend Report with Amy Webb!

You can download it now here: ftsg.com/trends

You’ll need to care more about your value chain "Going into 2025, we need an industry-wide assessment of how our value chain functions because technical and regulatory forces will conspire to make our strategic position less defensible."

The folks at @niemanlab.org should have an all-business edition of their annual predictions. This one from @samguzik.com is spot on – it's all about value capture. www.niemanlab.org/2024/12/youl...

Full prediction is live here, alongside a humbling collection of other great thinkers: www.niemanlab.org/collection/p...

This kind of analysis will be especially important for publishers who start deploying AI products. To create strategically resonant AI tools, we’ll need innovators willing to leverage fine-tuning or some other investment to build a more valuable solution.

Given the proposals for Trump’s second term, it’s clear that news leaders won’t just need to wrestle with how changing search and social algorithms impact news discovery: They’ll need to make choices about where their data is hosted and what service providers they use for fundamental operations.

Going into next year, I think we need an industry-wide assessment of how our value chain functions because technical and regulatory forces will conspire to make our strategic position less defensible.

You’ll need to care more about your value chain "Going into 2025, we need an industry-wide assessment of how our value chain functions because technical and regulatory forces will conspire to make our strategic position less defensible."

My prediction for 2025: Newsrooms will need to care more about their value chain.

www.niemanlab.org/2024/12/youl...

🎶🎶 It's the most / Wonderful time / of the year... 🎶🎶

@niemanlab.org Predictions for Journalism 2025 season!

www.niemanlab.org/collection/p...

But the bottom line from that talk was this:

“AI is not a strategy”

To survive, news organizations need to stay focused on our mission and our audiences.

If we use AI to solve real problems and connect people, we have a future. If we chase tech for its own sake, we'll repeat past mistakes.

Multimodality, content fight, and supply chain are 3 AI areas to watch Sam Guzik, senior director of product at New York Public Radio and foresight affiliate for Future Today Institute, shares his thoughts on AI developments news publishers should track in 2025.

Grateful to INMA for letting me talk about the AI trends news leaders should be following in 2025.

TL;DR:
1) Multi-modality is an opportunity and a threat
2) Model collapse and scaling laws will drive the future of content value
3) The AI supply chain matters, a lot.

www.inma.org/blogs/confer...

Generative AI Town Hall What news media has learned about GenAI

Excited to join this amazing panel on GenAI and the future of news. Thanks to Sonali Verma and INMA for making this event open to the entire news industry!

It's free and starts in 20 minutes, so it's not too late to register: www.inma.org/modules/even...

Envisioning the future of journalism A selection of scenarios from the Future Today Institute trend report describing how AI and other emerging technologies will impact the future of news.

One of my favorite parts of FTI’s Tech Trends Report are the scenarios.

Scenarios surface strategic insights. They make far-off risk feel urgent. And they help us start essential conversations about how we should respond to what's happening in the present.

www.linkedin.com/pulse/envisi...

What We See - Future Today Institute Downloaded more than 1 million times each year, FTI's annual Tech Trends Report is a must-read for every industry. We track more than 700 technology and science trends that are likely to influence eve...

The full report is nearly 1,000 pages long with 695 trends—it has something for everyone, regardless of what industry you work in.

Again, you can download the report here: 2024techtrends.com

1. Generative AI is mainstream.
2. Digital traffic dynamics are shifting.
3. Publishers are losing power in the content value chain.
4. Foundations are the new hedge funds, offering an influx of cash to fund journalism.
5. Trust is essential for media businesses, but it is at near-historic lows.

This year there are 19 trends and 3 scenarios covering the future of news, as well as a breakdown of strategic threats and opportunities. The key takeaways from the News+Information chapter are:

The thesis of this year’s report is that we’re entering a “technology supercycle”—a wave of innovation so potent and pervasive that it promises to reshape our very existence. I wrote the News+Information section, which covers the inflection points in our news ecosystem.

What We See - Future Today Institute Downloaded more than 1 million times each year, FTI's annual Tech Trends Report is a must-read for every industry. We track more than 700 technology and science trends that are likely to influence eve...

The Future Today Institute’s 17th annual Tech Trends Report launched this weekend at SXSW, covering hundreds of technology trends across 16 industries and technologies!

TL;DR - Regardless of where you work, the report has something for you: 2024techtrends.com

Devices are the new gatekeepers "What these devices have in common is that they use AI as a layer to synthesize incoming information and determine what and when information should reach users."

In Nieman Journalism Lab's annual collection of predictions for the future of journalism, I wrote about how devices are the new gatekeepers.

Devices increasingly use AI as a layer to synthesize incoming information and determine what and when information should reach users.

bit.ly/3t9qxTb